Result
0:2
17/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 30
- Referee: Melnjak A. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (393/458) | 83% (340/412) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 2.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 2.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (393/458) | 83% (340/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (79/107) | 69% (75/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Susak M. ⚽, Belcar L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Sule W. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
- 52', Prsir J. 🟨,
- 64', Epailly T. ↓, Fiolic I. ↑,
- 64', Bakic O. ↓, Kucis S. ↑,
- 68', Susak M. ↓, Sabra I. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 2, Vasilj J. ⚽, Stojakovic A. (A),
- 78', Kavelj A. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
- 78', Stojakovic A. ↓, Vukovic D. ↑,
- 81', Kolinger D. 🟨,
- 84', Bogojevic B. ↓, Gashi M. ↑,
- 89', Subotic M. ↓, Kralevski T. ↑,
- 89', Vasilj J. ↓, Lorber M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gorica
41.1% | Draw
28.1% | Lokomotiva Zagreb
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorica than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.17) |
3.34 ↑
(3.28) |
3.06 ↓
(3.15) |
6.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gorica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gorica: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 7)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 2.
- Gorica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lokomotiva is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lokomotiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Gorica will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gorica: Erceg A.
(Inactive)
Pavicic D.
(Yellow Cards)
Pozo I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lokomotiva: Jukic T.
(Red Card)
Katic I.
(Shoulder Injury)
Leovac M.
(Injury)
Sigali L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gorica won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gorica won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gorica won against Lokomotiva Zagreb?
Gorica has won 5 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiva Zagreb won against Gorica?
Lokomotiva Zagreb has won 8 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gorica - Lokomotiva Zagreb were as follows:
06.02.2026
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
3:0
03.11.2025
Gorica
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
4:1
16.08.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
1:3
24.05.2025
Gorica
-
Lokomotiva Zagreb
0:3
28.03.2025
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-
Gorica
1:1
Latest results of Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Din. Zagreb ✔ | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 87:27 | 60 | 79 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split ✔ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 54:30 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 47 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 44:36 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Lok. Zagreb | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 38:50 | -12 | 41 |
| 6 | Gorica | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38:45 | -7 | 38 |
| 7 | Slaven Belupo | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 43:52 | -9 | 38 |
| 8 | Istra 1961 | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 36 |
| 9 | Osijek | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 32 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 34:62 | -28 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
Clinched Spots for Teams
Din. Zagreb is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hajduk Split is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
