Result
1:0
23/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | TVG |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Martinez R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
UD Ourense 35.8% | Draw 31.7% | Bergantiños 32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UD Ourense's form might have worsened.Bergantiños has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UD Ourense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
UD Ourense - Bergantiños Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↑ (2.22) |
2.87 ↓ (3) |
2.81 ↓ (3.17) |
9.8% (9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for UD Ourense - Bergantiños?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- UD Ourense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, UD Ourense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, UD Ourense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has UD Ourense won against Bergantiños?
UD Ourense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bergantiños won against UD Ourense?
Bergantiños has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UD Ourense - Bergantiños were as follows:
16.12.2023
UD Ourense
-
Bergantiños
0:1
Latest results of UD Ourense
Latest results of Bergantiños
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Fabril | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 43:17 | 26 | 54 |
| 2 | Oviedo B | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 52 |
| 3 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 31:25 | 6 | 47 |
| 4 | Salamanca | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 38:29 | 9 | 43 |
| 5 | UD Ourense | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 41 |
| 6 | Real Avila | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 37:38 | -1 | 41 |
| 7 | Coruxo FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35:29 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Numancia | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 34:28 | 6 | 40 |
| 9 | Atl. Astorga | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | Bergantinos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Marino de Luanco | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:20 | 2 | 34 |
| 12 | Rayo Cantabria | 27 | 6 | 14 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 32 |
| 13 | Sarriana | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 31:33 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Langreo | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 24:31 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Valladolid Promesas | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 43:49 | -6 | 29 |
| 16 | Burgos CF B | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 28:44 | -16 | 25 |
| 17 | Lealtad | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20:36 | -16 | 24 |
| 18 | UD Samano | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 20:60 | -40 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation