Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca
04/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 8
  • Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, SCTV 15

Chances of winning


Athletic Bilbao
59.2%
Draw
25.5%
Mallorca
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.1% 23.2% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1% 22.5% 13.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Mallorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mallorca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.5)
    3.77
    (4.08)
    6.35
    (6.87)
    3.9%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Athletic will win (votes: 18 - 60%). Mallorca will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Athletic: 42.5%77.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Athletic (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 2.
    • Athletic has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Mallorca's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mallorca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Athletic is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y. (Doping) Egiluz U. (Knee Injury) Prados Diaz B. (Knee Injury) Sancet O. (Injury) Vesga M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Mallorca: Asano T. (Muscle Injury) Kumbulla M. (Hamstring Injury) Mascarell O. (Hamstring Injury) Rodriguez D. (Suspended) Virgili J. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Berenguer A. (Toe Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Athletic won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletic won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 1.9:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca were as follows:
    09.03.2025 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 1:1
    28.10.2024 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 0:0
    06.04.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 2:1
    02.02.2024 Athletic Bilbao - Mallorca 4:0
    03.09.2023 Mallorca - Athletic Bilbao 0:0
    Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
    Latest results of Mallorca
    24.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Mallorca 1:0
    15.09.2025 Espanyol - Mallorca 3:2
    30.08.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona761021:51619
    2Real Madrid760116:8818
    3Villarreal751113:5816
    4Elche734010:6413
    5Atl. Madrid733114:9512
    6Betis733111:7412
    7Espanyol733110:9112
    8Getafe83239:11-211
    9Sevilla731311:10110
    10Ath Bilbao73137:8-110
    11Osasuna83147:8-110
    12Levante822413:14-18
    13Alaves72236:7-18
    14Valencia72239:12-38
    15R. Oviedo82064:14-106
    16Rayo Vallecano71247:10-35
    17Celta Vigo70526:9-35
    18Real Sociedad71247:11-45
    19Mallorca71246:11-55
    20Girona70343:16-133

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2