Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 38
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 73', 0 - 1, Barzotti M. ⚽,
- 78', 1 - 1, Bianchi N. ⚽,
- 81', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Gozzano 46.9% | Draw 29.5% | Varese 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gozzano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gozzano's form might have worsened.Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gozzano than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gozzano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Gozzano - Varese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.94 ↑ (1.7) |
3.09 ↓ (3.47) |
3.86 ↓ (4.49) |
9.8% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 0.
- Gozzano is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Città di Varese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Gozzano is the team to beat.
- We predict that Gozzano will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gozzano won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gozzano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Gozzano won against Varese?
Gozzano has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Gozzano?
Varese has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gozzano - Varese were as follows:
22.12.2024
Varese
-
Gozzano
2:1
05.05.2024
Gozzano
-
Varese
1:1
20.12.2023
Varese
-
Gozzano
2:1
Latest results of Gozzano
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vado | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Chisola | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 20 |
| 3 | Ligorna | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Varese FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 16 |
| 5 | AS Biellese | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Valenzana | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 7 | Sestri Levante | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 14 |
| 8 | Saluzzo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Asti | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Lavagnese | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Derthona FbC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 11 |
| 12 | NovaRomentin | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Gozzano | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
| 14 | Celle Varazze | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Imperia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Sanremese | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Cairese | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 |
| 18 | Club Milano | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 5 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation