Result
3:2
22/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Egypt | Kora Plus, On Time Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (308/391) | 71% (188/266) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (308/391) | 71% (188/266) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/51) | 46% (32/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (59/94) | 56% (54/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.96 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.12 | -1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Mwanga J. ⚽,
- 8', 1 - 1, Teka S. ⚽, Abdelrahim M. (A),
- 20', 2 - 1, Hussein A. ⚽, Dahesh A. (A),
- 21', Toure M. 🟨,
- 26', 3 - 1, Abdelrahim M. ⚽,
- 41', Abdelrahim M. 🟨,
- 45+6', Shousha A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+6', 3 - 2, Amoory A. ⚽, Saidi K. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Grendo M. ↓, Yasser A. ↑,
- 46', Toure M. ↓, Magdy A. ↑,
- 46', Dahesh A. ↓, Adly O. ↑,
- 46', Abdelaati M. ↓, Kaandorp M. ↑,
- 61', Saidi K. ↓, Fawzy Y. ↑,
- 65', Refaat A. ↓, Diasty M. ↑,
- 81', Abdelrahim M. ↓, El Shimi A. ↑,
- 81', Zakaria Y. ↓, Body A. ↑,
- 81', Abdelsalam M. ↓, Ineza A. ↑,
- 84', Maher S. 🟨,
- 89', Yasser A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Hussein A. ↓, Boli F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Wadi Degla
39.9% | Draw
34% | Ghazl El Mahalla
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wadi Degla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wadi Degla's form might have worsened.Ghazl El Mahalla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ghazl El Mahalla's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wadi Degla than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wadi Degla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ghazl El Mahalla than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ghazl El Mahalla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wadi Degla - Ghazl El Mahalla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(1.91) |
2.71 ↓
(2.82) |
3.53 ↓
(5.06) |
8.6%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Wadi Degla - Ghazl El Mahalla?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Wadi Degla will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.7% – 95.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Ghazl El Mahalla (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Wadi Degla (1.27) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Wadi Degla (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Wadi Degla (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Ghazl El Mahalla (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 0.
- Wadi Degla is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ghazl El Mahalla has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Wadi Degla is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Wadi Degla won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wadi Degla won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Wadi Degla won against Ghazl El Mahalla?
Wadi Degla has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ghazl El Mahalla won against Wadi Degla?
Ghazl El Mahalla has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wadi Degla - Ghazl El Mahalla were as follows:
17.02.2024
Wadi Degla
-
Ghazl El Mahalla
0:0
20.12.2023
Ghazl El Mahalla
-
Wadi Degla
0:0
Latest results of Wadi Degla
Latest results of Ghazl El Mahalla
Egyptian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zamalek ✔ | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 31:12 | 19 | 40 |
| 2 | Pyramids ✔ | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Ahly ✔ | 18 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ceramica Cleopatra ✔ | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:14 | 13 | 37 |
| 5 | Al Masry | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27:19 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Smouha | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 28 |
| 7 | Wadi Degla | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | ZED | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 19:16 | 3 | 26 |
| 9 | National Bank Egypt | 18 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 25 |
| 10 | Petrojet | 19 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Enppi | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 24 |
| 12 | El Gouna | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 24 |
| 13 | Modern Sport | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 15:23 | -8 | 20 |
| 15 | Ghazl El Mahallah ✔ | 19 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 18 |
| 16 | Arab Contractors ✔ | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 12:18 | -6 | 18 |
| 17 | Haras El Hodood ✔ | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 14:26 | -12 | 17 |
| 18 | El Gaish ✔ | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 16 |
| 19 | Kahrabaa Ismailia ✔ | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 16 |
| 20 | Pharco ✔ | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 14 |
| 21 | El Ismaily ✔ | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Championship Group: )
Premier League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zamalek is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Pyramids is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ahly is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Ceramica Cleopatra is Qualified for Premier League (Championship Group )
Al Ittihad is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Ghazl El Mahallah is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Arab Contractors is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Haras El Hodood is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Gaish is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Kahrabaa Ismailia is Premier League (Relegation Group )
Pharco is Premier League (Relegation Group )
El Ismaily is Premier League (Relegation Group )
