Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group B - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Brusaporto
45.7% | Draw
28.3% | Castellanzese
26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brusaporto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusaporto's form might have worsened.Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellanzese's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusaporto than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusaporto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellanzese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Brusaporto - Castellanzese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.62) |
3.22 ↓
(3.58) |
3.49 ↓
(4.99) |
10%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brusaporto won 2.
- Brusaporto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Castellanzese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Brusaporto is a strong favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Brusaporto won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brusaporto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Brusaporto won against Castellanzese?
Brusaporto has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Castellanzese won against Brusaporto?
Castellanzese has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brusaporto - Castellanzese were as follows:
19.10.2025
Castellanzese
-
Brusaporto
0:1
05.05.2024
Castellanzese
-
Brusaporto
3:3
20.12.2023
Brusaporto
-
Castellanzese
2:0
Latest results of Brusaporto
Latest results of Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 26 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 37:25 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 | Villa Valle | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | Chievo | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 43 |
| 5 | AC Milan U23 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:26 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Leon | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 33:26 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Oltrepo | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Scanzorosciate | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 29:25 | 4 | 36 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 21:21 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Castellanzese | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
| 12 | Caldiero Terme | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 35 |
| 13 | Real Calepina | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 14 | Breno | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 31:38 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Varesina | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 27:34 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Pavia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 27:41 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 19 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 15:39 | -24 | 8 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
Relegation
