Result
0:1
10/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Agondeze E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Mbarara City
20.7% | Draw
29.8% | Kitara
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mbarara City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Kitara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kitara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kitara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mbarara City - Kitara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↓
(4.95) |
3.03 ↓
(3.38) |
1.83 ↑
(1.65) |
10.6%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Mbarara City - Kitara?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Mbarara City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kitara will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mbarara City (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.5 - Mbarara City (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mbarara City (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 0.
- Mbarara City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Kitara is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kitara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kitara is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mbarara City won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mbarara City won against Kitara?
Mbarara City has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kitara won against Mbarara City?
Kitara has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mbarara City - Kitara were as follows:
24.10.2025
Kitara
-
Mbarara City
3:2
14.03.2025
Kitara
-
Mbarara City
1:1
18.10.2024
Mbarara City
-
Kitara
1:1
30.04.2024
Kitara
-
Mbarara City
1:1
20.12.2023
Mbarara City
-
Kitara
0:0
Latest results of Mbarara City
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 42:14 | 28 | 50 |
| 2 | Kitara | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 34:13 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 34:17 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Villa | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 31:11 | 20 | 41 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 36 |
| 6 | Police | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 35 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 8 | BUL | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24:20 | 4 | 30 |
| 9 | Maroons | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
| 10 | Express | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 23 |
| 11 | URA SC | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 18 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 15:31 | -16 | 16 |
| 14 | Buhimba | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15:44 | -29 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
| 16 | Calvary | 21 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7:36 | -29 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
