Ponferradina vs Arenteiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
13/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
106
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Total shots
165
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
111
Corner Kicks
106

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Alpha M. 🟨,
  • 31', Fernandez X. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Mingo V. ,
  • 61', Sousa V. , San Emeterio F. ,
  • 61', Fernandez X. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 61', Keita A. , Mula A. ,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Mingo V. ,
  • 69', 0 - 3, Bastida A. ,
  • 71', Cortes J. , Sergio Benito ,
  • 76', Safrai , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 78', Alpha M. 🟨,
  • 83', Cuellar J. , Llacer L. ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Sergio Benito ,
  • 90', Aguilar Elizalde E. , Andujar D. ,
  • 90+5', Ferreiro D. , Moya P. ,
  • 90+5', Mingo V. , Ochoa M. ,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
51.3%
Draw
30.2%
Arenteiro
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 29% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 27.9% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Ponferradina - Arenteiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.84)
    3.04
    (3.2)
    4.97
    (4.53)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Arenteiro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Ponferradina (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Ponferradina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ponferradina is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Arenteiro were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Arenteiro - Ponferradina 0:1
    22.09.2024 Ponferradina - Arenteiro 1:2
    06.08.2024 Arenteiro - Ponferradina 0:2
    21.04.2024 Arenteiro - Ponferradina 0:0
    03.01.2024 Ponferradina - Arenteiro 2:1
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Arenteiro
    29.11.2025 Tenerife - Arenteiro 1:0
    22.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ourense CF 0:2
    08.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ferrol 0:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

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