Result
01/05/2026 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLB
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | MLB.TV |
Chances of winning
Miami Marlins
46.2% | Philadelphia Phillies
53.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(2.05) |
|
1.8 ↓
(1.82) |
3.7%
(3.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
What is the prediction for Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:5.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 3.
- Recent performances by Miami have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Philadelphia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Miami has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 88:108. (average 4.4:5.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 52:59. (average 4.3:4.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Miami Marlins won against Philadelphia Phillies?
Miami Marlins has won 20 of their last 49 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Phillies won against Miami Marlins?
Philadelphia Phillies has won 28 of their last 49 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies were as follows:
24.02.2026
Miami Marlins
-
Philadelphia Phillies
6:1
25.09.2025
Philadelphia Phillies
-
Miami Marlins
1:0
24.09.2025
Philadelphia Phillies
-
Miami Marlins
11:1
23.09.2025
Philadelphia Phillies
-
Miami Marlins
5:6
07.09.2025
Miami Marlins
-
Philadelphia Phillies
5:4
Latest results of Miami Marlins
Latest results of Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Table
MainAmerican League | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | New York Yankees | 31 | 20 | 11 | 153:106 | 0.645 |
| 2 | Tampa Bay Rays | 30 | 18 | 12 | 137:138 | 0.600 |
| 3 | Athletics | 31 | 17 | 14 | 131:136 | 0.548 |
| 4 | Cleveland Guardians | 32 | 16 | 16 | 123:131 | 0.500 |
| 5 | Detroit Tigers | 32 | 16 | 16 | 142:133 | 0.500 |
| 6 | Seattle Mariners | 32 | 16 | 16 | 134:127 | 0.500 |
| 7 | Baltimore Orioles | 31 | 15 | 16 | 145:157 | 0.484 |
| 8 | Texas Rangers | 31 | 15 | 16 | 120:112 | 0.484 |
| 9 | Chicago White Sox | 31 | 14 | 17 | 129:153 | 0.452 |
| 10 | Toronto Blue Jays | 31 | 14 | 17 | 122:146 | 0.452 |
| 11 | Minnesota Twins | 32 | 14 | 18 | 154:149 | 0.438 |
| 12 | Kansas City Royals | 31 | 12 | 19 | 126:148 | 0.387 |
| 13 | Boston Red Sox | 31 | 12 | 19 | 123:139 | 0.387 |
| 14 | Los Angeles Angels | 32 | 12 | 20 | 150:161 | 0.375 |
| 15 | Houston Astros | 32 | 12 | 20 | 168:194 | 0.375 |
National League | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Atlanta Braves | 32 | 22 | 10 | 177:111 | 0.688 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Dodgers | 31 | 20 | 11 | 167:101 | 0.645 |
| 3 | Cincinnati Reds | 31 | 20 | 11 | 133:136 | 0.645 |
| 4 | San Diego Padres | 30 | 19 | 11 | 139:131 | 0.633 |
| 5 | Chicago Cubs | 31 | 19 | 12 | 169:134 | 0.613 |
| 6 | St.Louis Cardinals | 31 | 18 | 13 | 155:158 | 0.581 |
| 7 | Arizona Diamondbacks | 30 | 16 | 14 | 141:165 | 0.533 |
| 8 | Milwaukee Brewers | 30 | 16 | 14 | 160:122 | 0.533 |
| 9 | Pittsburgh Pirates | 32 | 16 | 16 | 153:141 | 0.500 |
| 10 | Miami Marlins | 31 | 15 | 16 | 135:134 | 0.484 |
| 11 | Washington Nationals | 32 | 15 | 17 | 175:185 | 0.469 |
| 12 | Colorado Rockies | 32 | 14 | 18 | 137:144 | 0.438 |
| 13 | San Francisco Giants | 31 | 13 | 18 | 104:130 | 0.419 |
| 14 | Philadelphia Phillies | 31 | 12 | 19 | 118:163 | 0.387 |
| 15 | New York Mets | 31 | 10 | 21 | 106:141 | 0.323 |
