Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball MLB Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies
Result
5:4
07/09/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldMLB.TV

Match Stats

Hits
107
Errors
11
2B - double
02
3B - triple
01
Home Runs
21
Runs batted in
54
Left on base
108
Base on Balls
45
Strikeouts
47
Stolen bases
30
At bat
3434
Batting Average
0.2940.206

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Marlins
44.4%
Philadelphia Phillies
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 50.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami Marlins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Phillies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.06)

    1.72
    (1.77)
    4.4%
    (5%)
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1.
    • Miami is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Philadelphia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 93:107. (average 4.7:5.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 48:60. (average 4.4:5.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies 2:4
    05.09.2025 Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies 3:9
    19.06.2025 Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies 1:2
    18.06.2025 Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies 2:4
    17.06.2025 Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies 8:3
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Tigers1468462718:6110.575
    2Toronto Blue Jays1458362721:6560.572
    3New York Yankees1458065752:6320.552
    4Boston Red Sox1478166726:6190.551
    5Houston Astros1467967615:5960.541
    6Seattle Mariners1467868680:6420.534
    7Texas Rangers1477770630:5390.524
    8Cleveland Guardians1457471567:6060.510
    9Kansas City Royals1467472557:5670.507
    10Tampa Bay Rays1457273654:5990.497
    11Los Angeles Angels1466977627:7450.473
    12Baltimore Orioles1456877625:7050.469
    13Athletics1476780673:7550.456
    14Minnesota Twins1466482617:7020.438
    15Chicago White Sox1465690592:6720.384


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Milwaukee Brewers1478958743:5760.605
    2Philadelphia Phillies1468660703:5810.589
    3Chicago Cubs1468363713:5930.568
    4Los Angeles Dodgers1468264738:6270.562
    5San Diego Padres1467967617:5650.541
    6New York Mets1467670690:6390.521
    7Cincinnati Reds1467472656:6240.507
    8San Francisco Giants1467472637:6050.507
    9Arizona Diamondbacks1477374724:7050.497
    10St.Louis Cardinals1477275629:6750.490
    11Miami Marlins1466779636:7410.459
    12Atlanta Braves1466581633:6720.445
    13Pittsburgh Pirates1466482525:5960.438
    14Washington Nationals1456085626:7930.414
    15Colorado Rockies14640106545:9310.274