Result
3:2
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 22
- Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max |
France | DAZN France |
Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | 215 DAZN Zona, DAZN 2, DAZN Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kuwait | Shasha |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+ |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 4 |
Tunisia | Diwan Sport |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.49 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (252/330) | 78% (282/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (252/330) | 78% (282/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (23/57) | 32% (23/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (57/95) | 68% (79/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/24) | 50% (8/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.63 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.17 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.83 | -0.87 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Ferguson L. ⚽, Dominguez B. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 2, Otoa S. (Own goal),
- 55', Ekhator J. ↓, Malinovskyi R. ↑,
- 56', Martin A. ↓, Junior Messias ↑,
- 57', Skorupski L. 🟥,
- 61', Dominguez B. ↓, Ravaglia F. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 2, Malinovskyi R. ⚽,
- 68', Immobile C. 🟨,
- 71', Malinovskyi R. 🟨,
- 73', Rowe J. ↓, Sohm S. ↑,
- 74', Vitinha ↓, Ekuban C. ↑,
- 74', Odgaard J. ↓, Vitik M. ↑,
- 74', Vasquez J. ↓, Cornet M. ↑,
- 74', Immobile C. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
- 76', Ravaglia F. 🟨,
- 78', 2 - 2, Ekuban C. ⚽, Marcandalli A. (A),
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Junior Messias ⚽, Marcandalli A. (A),
- 90+6', Norton-Cuffy B. ↓, Zatterstrom N. ↑,
- 90+7', Marcandalli A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Genoa 29.5% | Draw 31.8% | Bologna 38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Genoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Genoa - Bologna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.24 ↑ (3.13) |
3 ↓ (3.15) |
2.48 ↑ (2.41) |
4.6% (5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Genoa - Bologna?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Bologna will win (votes: 17 - 65.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 47.1% – 83.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Bologna (1.35) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -0.5 - Genoa (3.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Genoa (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bologna will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Genoa (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Bologna (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Genoa: Ostigard L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Bologna: Bernardeschi F.
(Collarbone injury)
Bonifazi K.
(Inactive)
Lucumi J.
(Injury)
Miranda J.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Genoa: Ekuban C.
(Muscle Injury)
Gronbaek A.
(Injury)
Siegrist B.
(Finger Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Genoa won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Genoa won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 0.8:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Genoa won against Bologna?
Genoa has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Genoa?
Bologna has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Genoa - Bologna were as follows:
20.09.2025
Bologna
-
Genoa
2:1
24.05.2025
Bologna
-
Genoa
1:3
19.10.2024
Genoa
-
Bologna
2:2
24.05.2024
Genoa
-
Bologna
2:0
05.01.2024
Bologna
-
Genoa
1:1
Latest results of Bologna
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 64:21 | 43 | 67 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 27 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 43:20 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Napoli | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 53 |
| 4 | AS Roma | 27 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 37:19 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | Como | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 44:20 | 24 | 48 |
| 6 | Juventus | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 46:28 | 18 | 47 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 37:24 | 13 | 45 |
| 8 | Bologna | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | Udinese | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | Lazio | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 34 |
| 12 | Parma | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 20:32 | -12 | 33 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29:36 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Torino | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 27:47 | -20 | 30 |
| 15 | Genoa | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
| 16 | Fiorentina | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 24 |
| 17 | Cremonese | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 21:38 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Lecce | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 19 | Pisa | 27 | 1 | 12 | 14 | 20:44 | -24 | 15 |
| 20 | Verona | 27 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 20:48 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B