Samsunspor vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
21/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 6
  • Referee: Altay C. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.59
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
78% (275/351)77% (275/356)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.910.59
xG on target (xGOT)
2.820.97
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
75
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2714
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
916
Passes
78% (275/351)77% (275/356)
Long passes
51% (32/63)36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
67% (56/83)63% (83/132)
Crosses
13% (2/15)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
2.290.63
Throw-ins
2225
Fouls
169
Tackles
55% (12/22)50% (6/12)
Duels won
5449
Clearances
3819
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.972.82
Goals prevented
-0.030.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Cukur T. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Satka L. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 49', Cift Y. E. 🟨,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Cinar A. (Own goal),
  • 54', 2 - 1, Ndiaye C. , Holse C. (A),
  • 57', Doh M. , Larsson S. ,
  • 65', Ndiaye C. , Marius ,
  • 68', Ozcan B. , Kalayci B. ,
  • 68', Gray A. , Fofana D. D. ,
  • 70', Coulibaly T. , Yuksel C. ,
  • 77', Musaba A. 🟨,
  • 77', Esgaio R. 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 2, Fofana D. D. , Larsson S. (A),
  • 85', Cift Y. E. , Makoumbou A. ,
  • 87', Yavru Z. , Mendes J. ,
  • 89', Serginho , Camacho J. ,
  • 89', Cinar A. , Ugrekhelidze N. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Musaba A. , Tomasson L. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Samsunspor
52.4%
Draw
27.3%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.8% 23.6% 17.6%

Samsunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.87
(1.58)
3.54
(3.94)
4.74
(5.27)
3%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Samsunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 42%87.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 3 - 50%). Karagümrük (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.75, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Samsunspor (1.94) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 4 - 50%). Karagümrük (votes: 4 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • In this match, Samsunspor is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Kilinc E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Samsunspor: Aydogdu S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karagümrük: Sivri A. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samsunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    25.05.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Samsunspor 3:1
    06.02.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Samsunspor 2:1
    06.01.2024 Samsunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    17.09.2025 Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa 0:0
    13.09.2025 Samsunspor - Antalyaspor 1:2
    31.08.2025 Trabzonspor - Samsunspor 1:1
    28.08.2025 Samsunspor - Panathinaikos 0:0
    21.08.2025 Panathinaikos - Samsunspor 2:1
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray21164150:143652
    2Fenerbahce21147048:183049
    3Trabzonspor21136241:231845
    4Goztepe21117327:121540
    5Besiktas21107437:271037
    6Basaksehir2196636:221433
    7Samsunspor2179524:24030
    8Gaziantep2177729:35-628
    9Kocaelispor2176818:22-427
    10Alanyaspor21411622:24-223
    11Genclerbirligi21641126:31-522
    12Konyaspor2148924:33-920
    13Rizespor2148924:33-920
    14Antalyaspor21551119:34-1520
    15Eyupspor21461117:30-1318
    16Kasimpasa21371116:29-1316
    17Kayserispor21291017:43-2615
    18Karagumruk21331518:39-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig