Result
1:0
23/02/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 23
- Referee: Lima R. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Porto Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Sousa G. ⚽, Teixeira J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cunha D. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
- 55', Anilson ↓, Mota ↑,
- 55', Victor J. ↓, Fale M. ↑,
- 55', Silva V. ↓, da Silva Moreira I. A. ↑,
- 59', Kaue Rodrigues ↓, Lima B. ↑,
- 67', Sousa G. ↓, Mide M. ↑,
- 75', Pinto J. ↓, Nito ↑,
- 82', Sousa A. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
- 84', Vonic L. ↓, Melnichenko T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Porto B
45.8% | Draw
27.2% | Paços de Ferreira
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto B than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Porto B - Paços de Ferreira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.09) |
3.38 ↓
(3.6) |
3.41 ↑
(3.18) |
8.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Porto B - Paços de Ferreira?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Porto B will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto B: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Porto B (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Porto B (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 1.
- Porto B is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Paços de Ferreira has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Porto B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Porto B will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Porto B won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto B won against Paços de Ferreira?
Porto B has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paços de Ferreira won against Porto B?
Paços de Ferreira has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto B - Paços de Ferreira were as follows:
29.09.2025
Paços de Ferreira
-
Porto B
2:2
06.04.2025
Porto B
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:0
10.11.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Porto B
2:2
12.05.2024
Porto B
-
Paços de Ferreira
1:3
07.01.2024
Paços de Ferreira
-
Porto B
3:0
Latest results of Porto B
Latest results of Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
