Finland vs Lithuania, EuroBasket – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Nokia Arena (Tampere).

EuroBasket - Round 4
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Finland	Ruutu+
France	beIN Sports MAX 4
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 4
Italy	DAZN Italia
Lithuania	TV3
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, SportKlub 1
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	SVT Play
World	Court Side 1891

Match Stats


Field Goals Attempted
73	71
Field Goals Made
30	32
Field Goals %
41.1%	45.1%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
44	48
2-Point Field Goals Made
20	26
2-Point Field Goals %
45.5%	54.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
29	23
3-Point Field Goals Made
10	6
3-Point Field Goals %
34.5%	26.1%
Free Throws Attempted
10	15
Free Throws Made
8	12
Free Throws %
80%	80%
Offensive Rebounds
13	12
Defensive Rebounds
24	26
Total Rebounds
37	38
Assists
20	21
Blocks
6	2
Turnovers
14	14
Steals
6	8
Personal Fouls
21	17

Highlights

Chances of winning

Finland
41.7%

Lithuania
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

63.2%

Finland - Lithuania Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.9)		1.65 ↑ (1.43)	3.6% (4.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

What is the prediction for Finland - Lithuania?

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Finland will win (votes: 33 - 73.3%). Lithuania will win (votes: 12 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Finland: 60.4% – 86.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Finland will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 87:90.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Finland won 1.
Finland has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Lithuania's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Lithuania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Lithuania will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Finland won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 674:822. (average 67.4:82.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Finland won against Lithuania?

Finland has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lithuania won against Finland?

Lithuania has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Finland - Lithuania were as follows:

14.08.2023 Lithuania - Finland 84:80

04.08.2023 Finland - Lithuania 81:79

Latest results of Finland

30.08.2025 Montenegro - Finland 65:85 ✺

29.08.2025 Finland - Great Britain 109:79 ✺

27.08.2025 Sweden - Finland 90:93 ✺

21.08.2025 Finland - Poland 106:87 ✺

17.08.2025 Poland - Finland 88:97 ✺

Latest results of Lithuania

30.08.2025 Lithuania - Germany 88:107 ✺

29.08.2025 Lithuania - Montenegro 94:67 ✺

27.08.2025 Great Britain - Lithuania 70:94 ✺

22.08.2025 Lithuania - Iceland 96:83 ✺

20.08.2025 Lithuania - Turkey 81:84 ✺

Draw

Final tournament

1/8-finals

1	Lithuania (B2)	Latvia (A3)	88 : 79
2	Greece (C1)	Israel (D4)	84 : 79
3	Turkey (A1)	Sweden (B4)	85 : 79
4	Poland (D2)	Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)	80 : 72
5	Germany (B1)	Portugal (A4)	85 : 58
6	Italy (C2)	Slovenia (D3)	77 : 84
7	Serbia (A2)	Finland (B3)	86 : 92
8	France (D1)	Georgia (C4)	70 : 80

Quarter-finals

1	Lithuania (B2)	Greece (C1)	76 : 87
2	Turkey (A1)	Poland (D2)	91 : 77
3	Germany (B1)	Slovenia (D3)	99 : 91
4	Finland (B3)	Georgia (C4)	93 : 79

Semi-finals

1	Greece (C1)	Turkey (A1)	68 : 94
2	Germany (B1)	Finland (B3)	98 : 86

Final

1

Turkey (A1)

Germany (B1)

83 : 88

3rd place

2

Greece (C1)

Finland (B3)

92 : 89