Cardiff Rugby vs Harlequins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union European Rugby Champions Cup Cardiff Rugby - Harlequins
Result
15:54
13/01/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: EUROPEAN RUGBY CHAMPIONS CUP - ROUND 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


Cardiff Rugby
28%
Draw
4%
Harlequins
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 4.4% 68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2% 4.5% 66.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Harlequins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Rugby than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harlequins than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Cardiff Rugby - Harlequins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (3.36)
    22.75
    (21)
    1.36
    (1.36)
    8.9%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
  • Preview Facts
    • Cardiff is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Harlequins is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Harlequins could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Harlequins is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 131-150.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 88-73.
    Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
    01.01.2024 Ospreys - Cardiff Rugby 27:21
    16.12.2023 Cardiff Rugby - Bath 32:39
    09.12.2023 Toulouse - Cardiff Rugby 52:7
    Latest results of Harlequins
    30.12.2023 Harlequins - Gloucester 32:26
    23.12.2023 Bath - Harlequins 25:17
    17.12.2023 Harlequins - Toulouse 19:47
    10.12.2023 Racing Métro - Harlequins 28:31
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1LeinsterHarlequins62 : 0
    2Glasgow WarriorsLeicester Tigers43 : 19
    3Northampton SaintsClermont46 : 24
    4Castres OlympiqueBenetton39 : 37
    5Bordeaux BeglesUlster43 : 31
    6Stade RochelaisMunster24 : 25
    7RC ToulonnaisSaracens72 : 42
    8Stade ToulousainSale Sharks38 : 15

    Quarter-finals
    1LeinsterGlasgow Warriors52 : 0
    2Northampton SaintsCastres Olympique51 : 16
    3Bordeaux BeglesMunster47 : 29
    4RC ToulonnaisStade Toulousain18 : 21

    Semi-finals
    1LeinsterNorthampton Saints34 : 37
    2Bordeaux BeglesStade Toulousain35 : 18

    Final
    1Northampton SaintsBordeaux Begles20 : 28