Result
2:2
27/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (139/226) | 83% (401/482) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (139/226) | 83% (401/482) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (23/71) | 63% (45/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (40/73) | 73% (115/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 24% (11/45) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.84 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -1.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', Assal A. ↓, Salah O. ↑,
- 15', Saei A. ↓, Abdurisag Y. ↑,
- 18', 0 - 1, Abdurisag Y. ⚽, Zouhzouh A. (A),
- 31', Cristo 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Fayez A. ⚽, Cristo (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Fathy H. 🟨,
- 57', Fayez A. 🟨,
- 62', Al Hajri S. ↓, Aholou J. ↑,
- 62', Mance A. ↓, Khaled M. ↑,
- 65', Hassan A. ↓, Naji M. ↑,
- 65', Zouhzouh A. ↓, Valentin G. ↑,
- 72', Salah O. 🟨,
- 73', 2 - 1, Tannane O. ⚽,
- 77', Cristo ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
- 78', Lucas Verissimo ↓, Njie Y. ↑,
- 85', El Sayed A. ↓, Said F. ↑,
- 87', Ashour L. 🟨,
- 89', 2 - 2, Berkane R. ⚽, Luis Alberto (A),
Chances of winning
Umm-Salal
25.5% | Draw
24.3% | Al-Wakrah
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Al-Wakrah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)The ML Model estimate for Al-Wakrah aligns with the current prediction.
Umm-Salal - Al-Wakrah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↓
(3.63) |
3.8 ↑
(3.77) |
1.84 ↓
(1.87) |
8.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Umm-Salal - Al-Wakrah?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Umm-Salal will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Wakrah will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone QSL (Relegation) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 2.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Al-Wakrah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Al-Wakrah has had a series of home games.
- Al-Wakrah will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 31:39. (average 1.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Umm-Salal won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Umm-Salal won against Al-Wakrah?
Umm-Salal has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Wakrah won against Umm-Salal?
Al-Wakrah has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Umm-Salal - Al-Wakrah were as follows:
16.11.2025
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Wakrah
3:1
26.09.2025
Al-Wakrah
-
Umm-Salal
3:2
07.05.2025
Al-Wakrah
-
Umm-Salal
1:4
04.04.2025
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Wakrah
0:1
01.11.2024
Al-Wakrah
-
Umm-Salal
3:0
Latest results of Umm-Salal
Latest results of Al-Wakrah
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 49:26 | 23 | 38 |
| 2 | Shamal | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 34 |
| 3 | Al-Gharafa | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 30:29 | 1 | 34 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 38:31 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29:26 | 3 | 28 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33:34 | -1 | 28 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 27 |
| 8 | Al Wakra | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 | Umm-Salal | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Al Ahli Doha | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 19 |
| 11 | Al Sailiya | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 18 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
