Result
2:0
09/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A Lyga - Round 11
- Referee: Bartuskevicius K. (Ltu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LRT TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Olses C. 🟨,
- 24', Kaulinis A. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Salcinovic D. ⚽, Henrique (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Sveistrys A. 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 0, Salcinovic D. ⚽, Verbickas O. (A),
- 56', Kaulinis A. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
- 56', Galita A. ↓, Mikulenas M. ↑,
- 56', Sveistrys A. ↓, Rimpa D. ↑,
- 59', Stankevicius N. 🟨,
- 65', Matyzonok P. ↓, Jarusevicius G. ↑,
- 73', Salcinovic D. ↓, Hadji K. ↑,
- 73', Henrique ↓, Chol M. ↑,
- 74', Wawszczyk J. ↓, Alekna T. ↑,
- 81', Sajcic L. ↓, Civilka S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Žalgiris
61.4% | Draw
22.8% | Riteriai
15.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Žalgiris's form might have worsened.Riteriai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-15.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Žalgiris that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riteriai than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Žalgiris - Riteriai Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.36) |
4.02 ↓
(4.4) |
5.84 ↓
(7.59) |
8.9%
(9.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Žalgiris - Riteriai?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Riteriai will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riteriai: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Riteriai will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 9 in the zone A Lyga (Relegation))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 4.
- Recent performances by Žalgiris have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Riteriai is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Riteriai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Žalgiris is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 46:16. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Žalgiris won against Riteriai?
Žalgiris has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Riteriai won against Žalgiris?
Riteriai has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Žalgiris - Riteriai were as follows:
07.03.2025
Riteriai
-
Žalgiris
3:3
17.09.2023
Riteriai
-
Žalgiris
2:6
06.07.2023
Žalgiris
-
Riteriai
3:0
03.05.2023
Riteriai
-
Žalgiris
0:2
19.03.2023
Žalgiris
-
Riteriai
1:0
Latest results of Žalgiris
Latest results of Riteriai
Lithuanian A Lyga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kauno Zalgiris | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 41:10 | 31 | 46 |
| 2 | Suduva | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Hegelmann | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 37 |
| 4 | Siauliai FA | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 5 | Zalgiris | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 28 |
| 6 | Dziugas Telsiai | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17:21 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | FK Panevezys | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 28 |
| 8 | Banga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 16:23 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Riteriai | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 24:44 | -20 | 14 |
| 10 | Dainava Alytus | 21 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16:43 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
A Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ I Lyga
