Result
 
                    3:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        28/09/2025 at  12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Besta deild karla - Relegation Group - Round 2
 
                                                - Referee: Arnason E. I. (Ice)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Ísland | 
 World | Onefootball | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.06 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 50% | 50% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 16 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 84% (392/469) | 84% (379/451) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.06 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.15 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 14 | 16 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 5 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 9 | 8 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 9 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 16 | 26 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 84% (392/469) | 84% (379/451) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 45% (25/55) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 63% (60/96) | 72% (113/158) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 16% (4/25) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.24 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 15 | 23 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 8 | 5 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 50% (7/14) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 41 | 45 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 31 | 15 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 15 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.03 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.85 | -1.97 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
 - 20', Baldvinsson B. 🟨, 
 - 37', 0 - 1, Steingrimsson H. ⚽, 
 - 2nd Half (3 - 1)
 - 46', Hrafnkelsson G. ↓, Steingrimsson H. ↑, 
 - 60', Kassi L. ↓, Hafthorsson T. G. ↑, 
 - 60', Edmundsson J. S. ↓, Valsson D. ↑, 
 - 60', Stole I. ↓, Saevarsson V. ↑, 
 - 67', 1 - 1, Magnusson H. ⚽, 
 - 70', 2 - 1, Cogic E. ⚽, 
 - 71', Sigmarsson G. ↓, Runolfsson B. ↑, 
 - 73', 3 - 1, Magnusson H. ⚽, Barkarson B. B. (A), 
 - 76', Johannsson A. 🟨, 
 - 84', Stokke B. ↓, Cogic E. ↑, 
 - 84', Cogic E. ↓, Ragnarsson A. ↑, 
 - 84', Gudmundsson H. ↓, Petursson M. M. ↑, 
 - 86', 3 - 2, Arnason I. ⚽, 
 - 90', Baldvinsson B. ↓, Kristinsson S. ↑, 
 - 90+3', Steingrimsson H. 🟨, 
 - 90+6', Magnusson H. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Afturelding  33.5% | Draw  24.4% | KA Akureyri  42.1% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Afturelding - KA Akureyri Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.8 ↓ (2.85) | 
			   3.84 ↑ (3.71) | 
			   2.23 ↑ (2.19) | 
			   6.6% (7.8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Afturelding is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
 - KA Akureyri is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  - In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Afturelding won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 2:3.6).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Afturelding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:15. (average 2.3:5).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Afturelding won against KA Akureyri?
                    
                    
                        
                            Afturelding has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has KA Akureyri won against Afturelding?
                    
                    
                        
                             KA Akureyri has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Afturelding - KA Akureyri were as follows:
                                                        
                                17.08.2025 
                                Afturelding 
                                - 
                                KA Akureyri 
                                3:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.05.2025 
                                KA Akureyri 
                                - 
                                Afturelding 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.01.2024 
                                KA Akureyri 
                                - 
                                Afturelding 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Afturelding                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of KA Akureyri                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Icelandic Besta-deild karla Table
Championship Group |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Vikingur Reykjavik | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 58:31 | 27 | 57 | 
| 2 | Valur | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 61:46 | 15 | 45 | 
| 3 | Stjarnan | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 50:45 | 5 | 42 | 
| 4 | Breidablik | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 46:42 | 4 | 42 | 
| 5 | Fram | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 41:40 | 1 | 36 | 
| 6 | Hafnarfjordur | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 49:46 | 3 | 33 | 
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