Castres vs Black Lion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
28:6
13/01/2024 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHALLENGE CUP - ROUND 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Sports Max

Chances of winning


Castres
77.3%
Draw
3.2%
Black Lion
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
84.7% 2.8% 12.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castres's form might have worsened.
  • Black Lion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Black Lion's recent form is better than expected.
  • Castres - Black Lion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.19
    (1.09)
    27
    (33.33)
    4.79
    (7.4)
    8.8%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
    Preview Facts
    • Castres is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Black Lion is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Black Lion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Castres is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Castres
    06.01.2024 Racing Métro - Castres 34:30
    31.12.2023 Castres - Perpignan 13:17
    23.12.2023 Montpellier - Castres 30:21
    16.12.2023 Edinburgh - Castres 34:21
    09.12.2023 Castres - Llanelli Scarlets 34:16
    Latest results of Black Lion
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1UlsterOspreys28 : 24
    2Newcastle Red BullsStade Rochelais18 : 26
    3BenettonCardiff Rugby38 : 35
    4Exeter ChiefsMunster31 : 21
    5MontpellierUSA Perpignan53 : 13
    6ConnachtSharks29 : 12
    7ZebreSection Paloise31 : 15
    8Stade Francais ParisDragons31 : 36

    Quarter-finals
    1UlsterStade Rochelais41 : 24
    2BenettonExeter Chiefs41 : 44
    3MontpellierConnacht45 : 22
    4ZebreDragons32 : 35

    Semi-finals
    1UlsterExeter Chiefs
    2MontpellierDragons

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2