Result
04/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Play Offs - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max, TV Record |
Chances of winning
Palmeiras
67.2% | Draw
22% | Grêmio Novorizontino
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Grêmio Novorizontino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.48) |
4.18 ↑
(3.8) |
8.59 ↑
(7.57) |
7.5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Novorizontino (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Palmeiras is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 2.
- Palmeiras has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Novorizontino is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Palmeiras is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Figueiredo
(Injury)
Martinez E.
(Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Novorizontino: Helio Borges
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Inactive)
Maykon Jesus
(Inactive)
Renato Palm
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Palmeiras will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:9. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:2. (average 3:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Grêmio Novorizontino?
Palmeiras has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Grêmio Novorizontino won against Palmeiras?
Grêmio Novorizontino has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Grêmio Novorizontino were as follows:
20.01.2026
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Palmeiras
4:0
25.01.2025
Palmeiras
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:2
28.03.2024
Palmeiras
-
Grêmio Novorizontino
1:0
21.01.2024
Grêmio Novorizontino
-
Palmeiras
1:1
Latest results of Palmeiras
Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
