Tucson Roadrunners vs Iowa Wild – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4 OT
10/01/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2729
Shooting PCT
18.52% (5/27)13.79% (4/29)
Goalkeeper Saves
2522
Saves PCT
86.21% (25/29)81.48% (22/27)
Penalties
55
PIM
1313
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/5)20% (1/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
80% (4/5)100% (5/5)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 18:58, 1 - 0, Szuber M. (G), Hebig C. (A), Nordh N. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 03:39, 1 - 1, Olausson O. (G), Aube-Kubel N. (A), Jiricek D. (A2)
  • 10:03, 2 - 1, Lutz J. (G), Simashev D. (A), Matikka M. (A2)
  • 16:19, 3 - 1, Tullio T. (G), Lipkin S. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 3)
  • 07:42, 4 - 1, Szuber M. (G), Lamoureux M. (A), Poganski A. (A2)
  • 09:06, 4 - 2, Mayhew G. (G), Lambos C. (A), Gambrell D. (A2)
  • 13:03, 4 - 3, Spacek D. (G), Gambrell D. (A), Mayhew G. (A2)
  • 19:39, 4 - 4, Foudy J. (G), Bankier C. (A), Gleason B. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 02:15, 5 - 4, Rooney K. (G), Lutz J. (A), Duda A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Tucson Roadrunners
53.1%
Draw
21.6%
Iowa Wild
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 23.6% 25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 25.3% 27.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tucson Roadrunners has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Iowa Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tucson Roadrunners that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iowa Wild than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Tucson Roadrunners - Iowa Wild Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.78)
    4.24
    (3.83)
    3.65
    (3.5)
    8.3%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Tucson Roadrunners - Iowa Wild?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Iowa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 9 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Tucson may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tucson is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Tucson will win today's game, with odds of 1.76.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 53:49. (average 2.7:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tucson won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 2.2:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tucson Roadrunners - Iowa Wild were as follows:
    09.01.2026 Tucson Roadrunners - Iowa Wild 1:1
    02.11.2025 Iowa Wild - Tucson Roadrunners 5:4
    01.11.2025 Iowa Wild - Tucson Roadrunners 0:3
    10.02.2024 Iowa Wild - Tucson Roadrunners 5:4
    09.02.2024 Iowa Wild - Tucson Roadrunners 2:1
    Latest results of Tucson Roadrunners
    Latest results of Iowa Wild
    07.01.2026 Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild 4:3
    04.01.2026 Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild 3:0
    31.12.2025 Iowa Wild - Texas Stars 2:3
    30.12.2025 Iowa Wild - Texas Stars 4:1
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins553211111182:11887
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears57206823164:17760
    5Bridgeport Islanders57204825170:17856
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms56168626166:18854
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves532171213172:16768
    3Manitoba Moose51224619132:14358
    4Texas Stars54189423162:17158
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign56299216190:15178
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds55219520184:17065
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights532131019174:16858
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers571091424152:20852
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch56323417184:13674
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies56207920176:18063
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets56173927144:17949

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