Jakub Mensik vs Hubert Hurkacz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/02/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Dubai, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1110
Double Faults
32
1st serve percentage
58%68%
1st serve points won
97% (36/37)78% (39/50)
2nd serve points won
56% (15/27)46% (11/24)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)67% (2/3)
1st return points won
22% (11/50)11% (4/37)
2nd return points won
54% (13/24)44% (12/27)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)0% (0/0)
Winners
2426
Unforced errors
1526
Net points won
91% (10/11)64% (9/14)
Service Points Won
80% (52/65)68% (50/73)
Return Points Won
32% (23/73)20% (13/65)
Total Points Won
54% (75/138)46% (63/138)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
04
Service games won
100% (11/11)91% (10/11)
Return games won
9% (1/11)0% (0/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Jakub Mensik
58%
Hubert Hurkacz
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 54%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Mensik's performance.
  • Hubert Hurkacz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hubert Hurkacz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Mensik that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hubert Hurkacz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.85)

    2.27
    (1.85)
    5.4%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 15 - 57.7%). Hurkacz will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 38.7%76.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Mensik (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Hurkacz (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Mensik (2.45) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Mensik (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Hurkacz (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mensik is ranked ATP: 16. Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 71.
    • Mensik is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hurkacz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hurkacz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mensik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz were as follows:
    13.05.2025 Hubert Hurkacz - Jakub Mensik 2:1
    18.01.2024 Jakub Mensik - Hubert Hurkacz 2:3
    Latest results of Jakub Mensik
    20.02.2026 Arthur Fils - Jakub Mensik 2:0
    26.01.2026 Jakub Mensik - Novak Djokovic Djokovic N. walkover
    Latest results of Hubert Hurkacz
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Zhang Z. (PR)2 : 0
    2Echargui M. (WC)Mpetshi Perricard G. (Q)1 : 2
    3Carreno-Busta P. (Q)Shapovalov D.2 : 0
    4Nardi L. (LL)Lehecka J. (8)1 : 2
    5Medvedev D. (3)Shang J. (PR)2 : 0
    6Wawrinka S. (WC)Hassan B. (WC)2 : 0
    7Bergs Z.Brooksby J.0 : 2
    8Shevchenko A. (LL)Khachanov K. (7)1 : 2
    9Rublev A. (5)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Humbert U.Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    11Marozsan F.Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    12Halys Q. (Q)Draper J. (4)0 : 2
    13Mensik J. (6)Hurkacz H.2 : 0
    14Popyrin A.Majchrzak K.2 : 1
    15Virtanen O. (Q)Griekspoor T.0 : 2
    16Struff J-L. (LL)Bublik A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Mpetshi Perricard G.2 : 0
    2Carreno-Busta P.Lehecka J. (8)0 : 2
    3Medvedev D. (3)Wawrinka S.2 : 0
    4Brooksby J.Khachanov K. (7)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (5)Humbert U.2 : 1
    6Rinderknech A.Draper J. (4)2 : 1
    7Mensik J. (6)Popyrin A.2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T.Bublik A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Lehecka J. (8)2 : 0
    2Medvedev D. (3)Brooksby J.2 : 0
    3Rublev A. (5)Rinderknech A.2 : 0
    4Mensik J. (6)Griekspoor T.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (1)Medvedev D. (3)0 : 2
    2Rublev A. (5)Griekspoor T.0 : 2

    Final
    1Medvedev D. (WO.) (3)Griekspoor T.