Jequié vs Barcelona de Ilhéus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
22/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Baiano - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball possession
60%40%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
72
Corner kicks
83
Yellow cards
27
Red cards
01
Total shots
134
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Gianlucas ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 68', 🟨,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Recife T. ,
  • 89', 🟨,
  • 89', Rhuan 🟥,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Jequié
52.5%
Draw
27.2%
Barcelona de Ilhéus
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.3% 25.7% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8% 24.6% 17.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jequié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jequié than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jequié, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Jequié - Barcelona de Ilhéus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.6)
    3.33
    (3.5)
    4.45
    (5.01)
    10.4%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Baiano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Baiano 2).
    • Jequié is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barcelona has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Jequié may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Jequié is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jequié won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jequié won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jequié - Barcelona de Ilhéus were as follows:
    29.06.2025 Jequié - Barcelona de Ilhéus 0:0
    18.05.2025 Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jequié 0:0
    15.01.2025 Barcelona de Ilhéus - Jequié 0:0
    20.01.2024 Jequié - Barcelona de Ilhéus 0:2
    Latest results of Jequié
    11.02.2026 Galícia - Jequié 2:1
    04.02.2026 Jacuipense - Jequié 0:2
    29.01.2026 Bahia de Feira - Jequié 1:2
    Latest results of Barcelona de Ilhéus
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Bahia (1)Juazeirense (4)4 : 2
    2Vitoria (2)Jacuipense (3)2 : 1

    Final
    1Bahia (1)Vitoria (2)