Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        08/08/2025 at  16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
 
                                                - Referee: Ramos P. (Esp)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.39 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 36% | 64% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 19 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 75% (203/272) | 86% (409/473) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.39 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.30 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 19 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 1 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 4 | 7 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 8 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 12 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 8 | 25 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 10 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 75% (203/272) | 86% (409/473) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 35% (23/65) | 69% (61/88) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 48% (31/65) | 73% (107/146) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 26% (9/35) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.40 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 11 | 29 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 11 | 10 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 81% (13/16) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 44 | 45 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 42 | 10 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 13 | 4 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 0 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.27 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.73 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 2nd Half (1 - 1)
 - 57', 1 - 0, Cardenas P. ⚽, Marchioni J. (A), 
 - 60', Marchioni J. ↓, Chipao R. ↑, 
 - 67', Ortiz J. ↓, Da Silva B. ↑, 
 - 67', Aguirre G. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑, 
 - 74', Souza Espana C. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑, 
 - 75', Noronha O. ↓, Garces C. ↑, 
 - 76', Figueroa N. 🟨, 
 - 77', Figueroa N. ↓, Sanchez G. ↑, 
 - 77', Vilchez Y. ↓, Alcedo F. ↑, 
 - 80', Arias Fierro S. D. ↓, Ramua A. ↑, 
 - 84', Cardenas P. 🟨, 
 - 84', Cardenas P. ↓, Paredes G. ↑, 
 - 84', Carpio Ferro M. P. ↓, Lecaros A. ↑, 
 - 90+1', Gamero Y. 🟨, 
 - 90+3', 1 - 1, Ortiz D. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A), 
 - 90+6', Hohberg A. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Comerciantes Unidos  26.7% | Draw  29.5% | Cienciano  43.9% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   3.49 ↑ (2.54) | 
			   3.17 ↓ (3.26) | 
			   2.18 ↓ (2.78) | 
			   6.1% (6%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Cienciano will win 
                    (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cienciano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Comerciantes Unidos has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
 - Cienciano's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
 - Comerciantes Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  - The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
 - There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: Guzman W.
(Red Card)
Sen M.
(Red Card)
 - There are questionable in Comerciantes Unidos: Carpio Ferro M. P.
(Injury)
 - There are questionable in Cienciano: Neira C.
(Injury)
Romagnoli J.
(Injury)
Sandoval R.
(Stomach Disorder)
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1.2:2.2).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Cienciano?
                    
                    
                        
                            Comerciantes Unidos has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cienciano won against Comerciantes Unidos?
                    
                    
                        
                             Cienciano has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - Cienciano were as follows:
                                                        
                                09.03.2025 
                                Cienciano 
                                - 
                                Comerciantes Unidos 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                13.07.2024 
                                Comerciantes Unidos 
                                - 
                                Cienciano 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.01.2024 
                                Cienciano 
                                - 
                                Comerciantes Unidos 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cienciano                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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