Result
0:1
10/01/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Mineiro - Round 1
- Referee: Candido Alves R. (Bra)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (263/351) | 71% (173/243) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (263/351) | 71% (173/243) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (29/62) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (51/104) | 50% (35/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 80% (8/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | 1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Bryan Garcia (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Dudu Pedrotti ↓, Mauricio Ferreira ↑,
- 63', Ruan Levine ↓, Luis Araujo ↑,
- 63', Campero L. ↓, Matheus Galdino ↑,
- 67', Bismarck ↓, Marcio Jonatan ↑,
- 67', Marcelinho ↓, Richard Luca ↑,
- 67', Giovanni Carignano ↓, Elton ↑,
- 70', Gabriel Morbeck ↓, Romario ↑,
- 71', 0 - 1, Marcio Jonatan ⚽,
- 75', Bryan 🟨,
- 75', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
- 80', Bryan ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
- 81', Serginho ↓, Renan Gustavo ↑,
- 82', Pedro Rodrigues ↓, Givigi G. ↑,
- 90+4', Mauricio Ferreira 🟨,
Chances of winning
Itabirito
41.3% | Draw
31.8% | Democrata GV
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabirito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Itabirito's performance.Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Democrata GV might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Itabirito - Democrata GV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.62) |
2.9 ↓
(3) |
3.43 ↑
(2.66) |
8.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Itabirito - Democrata GV?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Itabirito (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Itabirito will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Itabirito (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Itabirito is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itabirito won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabirito won against Democrata GV?
Itabirito has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Democrata GV won against Itabirito?
Democrata GV has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabirito - Democrata GV were as follows:
24.01.2024
Democrata GV
-
Itabirito
1:3
Latest results of Itabirito
Latest results of Democrata GV
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Pouso Alegre | Cruzeiro | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Atletico-MG | America MG | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
Final
