Result
4:1
19/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Relegation Group - Round 31
- Referee: Mitic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4P |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.77 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (314/383) | 75% (260/347) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (314/383) | 75% (260/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (34/64) | 45% (29/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (65/90) | 64% (49/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Todoroski A. ⚽, Jovanovic S. (A),
- 15', 2 - 0, Petrovic B. ⚽, Bosic R. (A),
- 42', 2 - 1, Vulic M. ⚽, Bojat D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 59', Vulic M. ↓, Ilic J. ↑,
- 59', Krstic F. ↓, Toseski M. ↑,
- 59', Bogdanovski N. ↓, Sremcevic U. ↑,
- 65', Krstic V. 🟨,
- 66', Miletic V. ↓, Vukajlovic N. ↑,
- 66', Petrovic B. ↓, Milosavic M. ↑,
- 68', Tasovski V. 🟨,
- 69', Jovanovic S. 🟨,
- 71', Vukajlovic N. 🟨,
- 73', Bastajic N. ↓, Skrobonja N. ↑,
- 77', Todoroski A. ↓, Savic D. ↑,
- 77', Mezei S. ↓, Stancic A. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 1, Savic D. ⚽, Jovanovic S. (A),
- 86', 4 - 1, Bosic R. ⚽, Milosavic M. (A),
- 88', Petrovic A. ↓, Tomovic S. ↑,
- 88', Jovanovic S. ↓, Mladenovic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bačka Topola
72.5% | Draw
17.7% | Napredak Kruševac
9.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bačka Topola's performance.Napredak Kruševac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Napredak Kruševac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-24.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bačka Topola that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Napredak Kruševac than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Napredak Kruševac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bačka Topola - Napredak Kruševac Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.5) |
5.18 ↑
(3.9) |
9.77 ↑
(6.25) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Bačka Topola - Napredak Kruševac?
Users Predictions:
Bačka Topola will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bačka Topola won 4.
- In recent matches, Bačka Topola has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Napredak is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Bačka Topola is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Bačka Topola won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:17. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bačka Topola won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against Napredak Kruševac?
Bačka Topola has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Napredak Kruševac won against Bačka Topola?
Napredak Kruševac has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bačka Topola - Napredak Kruševac were as follows:
03.04.2026
Napredak Kruševac
-
Bačka Topola
1:2
02.11.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Napredak Kruševac
1:1
16.03.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Napredak Kruševac
4:2
27.10.2024
Napredak Kruševac
-
Bačka Topola
0:3
23.05.2024
Bačka Topola
-
Napredak Kruševac
6:0
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Latest results of Napredak Kruševac
Serbian Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 96:26 | 70 | 82 |
| 2 | Partizan | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 64:43 | 21 | 65 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 56:33 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:34 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 41:46 | -5 | 48 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Radnik | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 43 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
