Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        12/04/2025 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Challenger Pro League - Round 29
 
                                                - Referee: Willems L. (Bel)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 2, Play Sports 1 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.57 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 45% | 55% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 17 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 6 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 76% (240/315) | 80% (314/392) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.57 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.20 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 12 | 17 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 6 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 6 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 12 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 1 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Headed Goals | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 8 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 23 | 29 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 14 | 6 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 76% (240/315) | 80% (314/392) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 46% (29/63) | 43% (29/68) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 55% (42/77) | 67% (90/135) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 50% (10/20) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.97 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 6 | 14 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 83% (10/12) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 49 | 35 | 
| Clearances Total | 
|---|
| 24 | 23 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 5 | 5 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.05 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.20 | -0.95 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
 - 5', 1 - 0, Kennedy S. ⚽, Deom J. (A), 
 - 19', Oguns A. 🟨, 
 - 31', Piron A. 🟥, 
 - 2nd Half (1 - 1)
 - 46', Bouchentouf N. ↓, Cachbach M. ↑, 
 - 46', 1 - 1, Diarra D. ⚽, Allione M. (A), 
 - 62', Perrey S. ↓, Camara M. ↑, 
 - 62', Boukteb B. ↓, Lawson Y. ↑, 
 - 67', Deom J. ↓, Baiye B. ↑, 
 - 67', Ejike P. ↓, Dalla Costa L. ↑, 
 - 70', Cachbach M. 🟨, 
 - 73', Ouotro P. ↓, Ndiaye C. O. ↑, 
 - 82', Kennedy S. ↓, Plastun I. ↑, 
 - 82', Caliskan B. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑, 
 - 84', Allione M. ↓, Serwy N. ↑, 
 - 90+1', 2 - 1, Oguns A. ⚽, Pantovic M. (A), 
 - 90+2', Oguns A. ↓, Emond R. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Eupen  51.4% | Draw  25.5% | Seraing  23.1% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Eupen - Seraing Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.8 ↓ (1.85) | 
			   3.62 ↓ (3.69) | 
			   3.97 ↑ (3.81) | 
			   8.3% (7.5%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Eupen - Seraing?
                    
                    
                        
						        
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Eupen (votes: 1 - 100%). 
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Eupen will win 
                    (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14).
 - Last 5 head-to-head matches Eupen won 2. 
 - Recent matches Eupen is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
 - Seraing is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
 - Seraing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. 
 - In this match Eupen is a favorite.
 - Last 10 head-to-head matches Eupen won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:10 (average 1.6:1). 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Eupen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:7 (average 1.4:1.4).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Eupen won against Seraing?
                    
                    
                        
                            Eupen has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Seraing won against Eupen?
                    
                    
                        
                             Seraing has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Eupen - Seraing were as follows:
                                                        
                                05.10.2024 
                                Seraing 
                                - 
                                Eupen 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                23.12.2022 
                                Seraing 
                                - 
                                Eupen 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Seraing