Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Sovogui A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Asti 29.9% | Draw 29.9% | Varese 40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asti than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+3%)
Asti - Varese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.03 ↓ (3.1) |
3.03 ↓ (3.18) |
2.26 ↑ (2.15) |
10.3% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asti won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Varese could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Asti won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Asti won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Asti won against Varese?
Asti has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Asti?
Varese has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Asti - Varese were as follows:
02.11.2025
Varese
-
Asti
0:2
23.02.2025
Varese
-
Asti
1:1
23.10.2024
Asti
-
Varese
1:0
28.01.2024
Varese
-
Asti
3:0
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vado ✔ | 33 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 66:22 | 44 | 75 |
| 2 | Ligorna ✔ | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 55:25 | 30 | 69 |
| 3 | AS Biellese ✔ | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 46:26 | 20 | 57 |
| 4 | Sestri Levante | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 54:32 | 22 | 54 |
| 5 | Varese FC | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40:41 | -1 | 53 |
| 6 | Chisola | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 41:34 | 7 | 52 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 35:30 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 45 |
| 9 | Saluzzo | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Celle Varazze | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 40:47 | -7 | 41 |
| 11 | Imperia | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 36:43 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Cairese | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 40 |
| 13 | Club Milano | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 39:48 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 35:45 | -10 | 39 |
| 15 | Gozzano ✔ | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 36:42 | -6 | 36 |
| 16 | Asti ✔ | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 31:38 | -7 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese ✔ | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin ✔ | 33 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 25:73 | -48 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vado is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Ligorna is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs )
AS Biellese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs )
Gozzano is Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out )
Asti is Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out )
Lavagnese is Relegated to
NovaRomentin is Relegated to