Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball MLB Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets
10/09/2025 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLB
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaESPN, Fox League
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 2
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldMLB.TV

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Phillies
60.7%
New York Mets
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.4% 40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • New York Mets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Mets than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.6)

    2.44
    (2.34)
    4.4%
    (5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
    • Philadelphia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • NY Mets is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, NY Mets has had a series of away games.
    • Philadelphia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 83:100. (average 4.2:5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:30. (average 5.3:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets were as follows:
    09.09.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets 9:3
    08.09.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - New York Mets 1:0
    27.08.2025 New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies 6:0
    26.08.2025 New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies 6:5
    25.08.2025 New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies 13:3
    Latest results of Philadelphia Phillies
    Latest results of New York Mets
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Toronto Blue Jays1448361719:6530.576
    2Detroit Tigers1458362707:6100.572
    3New York Yankees1448064751:6210.556
    4Boston Red Sox1468165722:6140.555
    5Houston Astros1457867612:5940.538
    6Seattle Mariners1457768676:6400.531
    7Texas Rangers1467670624:5360.521
    8Cleveland Guardians1447470564:6020.514
    9Kansas City Royals1457372553:5640.503
    10Tampa Bay Rays1447272649:5930.500
    11Los Angeles Angels1456877623:7420.469
    12Baltimore Orioles1446777623:7040.465
    13Athletics1466680668:7510.452
    14Minnesota Twins1456481614:6980.441
    15Chicago White Sox1455590586:6670.379


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Milwaukee Brewers1468957740:5700.610
    2Philadelphia Phillies1458560692:5780.586
    3Chicago Cubs1458263710:5910.566
    4Los Angeles Dodgers1458164729:6270.559
    5San Diego Padres1457966616:5630.545
    6New York Mets1457669687:6280.524
    7San Francisco Giants1457471634:6000.510
    8Cincinnati Reds1457372654:6230.503
    9Arizona Diamondbacks1467274719:7020.493
    10St.Louis Cardinals1467274627:6710.493
    11Miami Marlins1456679628:7380.455
    12Atlanta Braves1456580631:6690.448
    13Pittsburgh Pirates1456481524:5940.441
    14Washington Nationals1446084623:7850.417
    15Colorado Rockies14540105545:9220.276