Cape Verde vs South Africa, Africa Cup of Nations – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations
Result
0:1 penalties
03/02/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AFRICA: AFRICA CUP OF NATIONS - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS
  • Referee: Ndala J. (Drc)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 1
cameroonCameroonCRTV
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cape Verde
32.3%		Draw
32%		South Africa
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 30.8% 28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 30.5% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cape Verde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cape Verde's form might have worsened.
  • South Africa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting South Africa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cape Verde than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cape Verde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Africa than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South Africa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Cape Verde - South Africa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.92 ↑
    (2.29)    		 2.98 ↓
    (3.05)    		 2.66 ↓
    (3.33)    		 5.3%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Cape Verde - South Africa?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Cape Verde will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). South Africa will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 62.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.1% – 81.9%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Cape Verde is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches South Africa is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • South Africa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Cape Verde won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
    Latest results of Cape Verde
    29.01.2024 Cape Verde - Mauritania 1:0 ✺
    22.01.2024 Cape Verde - Egypt 2:2 ✺
    19.01.2024 Cape Verde - Mozambique 3:0 ✺
    14.01.2024 Ghana - Cape Verde 1:2 ✺
    10.01.2024 Tunisia - Cape Verde 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of South Africa
    30.01.2024 Morocco - South Africa 0:2 ✺
    24.01.2024 South Africa - Tunisia 0:0 ✺
    21.01.2024 South Africa - Namibia 4:0 ✺
    16.01.2024 Mali - South Africa 2:0 ✺
    11.01.2024 South Africa - Lesotho 0:0
    Draw
    2027

    Final
    1DjiboutiSouth Sudan
    2ChadBurundi
    3SomaliaMauritius
    4SeychellesLesotho
    5EritreaEswatini
    6Sao Tome and PrincipeEthiopia
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