Al-Sadd vs Al-Ahli Doha – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • QSL - Round 13
  • Referee: Al Nabet K. (Qat)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
qatarQatarAl Kass Four, Shoof

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.550.48
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
65
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
76
Passes
89% (387/433)82% (324/395)
Yellow cards
20
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.550.48
xG on target (xGOT)
1.500.38
Total shots
159
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
72
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
83
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2417
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free kicks
1218
Passes
89% (387/433)82% (324/395)
Long passes
85% (28/33)40% (23/57)
Passes in final third
82% (101/123)69% (59/86)
Crosses
13% (4/30)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.47
Throw ins
1115
Fouls
1812
Tackles
87% (13/15)69% (11/16)
Duels won
4949
Clearances
1631
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
53
xGOT faced
0.381.50
Goals prevented
0.38-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Paulo Otavio 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 67', Reyed A. , Gannan S. ,
  • 68', Giovani , Ali H. ,
  • 68', Soria A. , Camara M. ,
  • 78', Pedro Miguel 🟨,
  • 80', Draxler J. , Exposito E. ,
  • 82', 1 - 0, Mujica R. , Ali H. (A),
  • 89', Diallo I. , Mohammed K. ,
  • 90+3', Radwan K. 🟥,
  • 90+5', Mujica R. , Atal Y. ,
  • 90+9', 2 - 0, Ali H. , Afif A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al-Sadd
67.7%
Draw
18%
Al-Ahli Doha
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.6% 17.2% 13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.7% 17.5% 13%

Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.37
(1.33)
5.14
(5.39)
6.47
(7.03)
8.1%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Sadd will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Al-Ahli Doha will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Al-Sadd (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Sadd (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 4.
    • Al-Sadd has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al-Ahli Doha is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Al-Sadd is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 74:23. (average 3.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sadd won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:8. (average 3.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Sadd 0:2
    22.04.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha 3:0
    18.04.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha 5:0
    07.12.2024 Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Sadd 2:2
    17.04.2024 Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Sadd 1:9
    Latest results of Al-Sadd
    08.01.2026 Qatar SC - Al-Sadd 2:3
    29.12.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Sadd 0:3
    23.12.2025 Al-Sadd - Shabab Al-Ahli 4:2
    12.12.2025 Al-Rayyan - Al-Sadd 5:3
    27.11.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Mesaimeer 1:3
    Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
    07.01.2026 Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shamal 4:2
    29.12.2025 Al-Ahli Doha - Umm-Salal 0:3
    24.12.2025 Al-Ahli Doha - Andijan 2:0
    14.12.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Ahli Doha 0:1
    21.11.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Ahli Doha 2:3
    Qatar QSL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Gharafa13101225:16931
    2Al-Sadd1382333:161726
    3Shamal1373326:17924
    4Al Rayyan1372427:20723
    5Al Arabi1362524:27-320
    6Al-Duhail1354423:14919
    7Qatar SC1352617:19-217
    8Al Wakra1344515:19-416
    9Al Ahli Doha1350817:27-1015
    10Al Sailiya1332815:22-711
    11Al-Shahaniya1332810:19-911
    12Umm-Salal13301022:38-169

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          QSL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 2