Pietà Hotspurs vs Żurrieq – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
14/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
86
Corner kicks
54
Total shots
157
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
71
Corner kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Arthur (Penalty Awarded),
  • 34', 2 - 0, Magro O. ,
  • 40', 3 - 0, Magro O. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 3 - 1, Aquilina G. ,

Chances of winning


Pietà Hotspurs
49%
Draw
25.7%
Żurrieq
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 23.9% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 22.8% 19.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pietà Hotspurs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pietà Hotspurs's form might have worsened.
  • Żurrieq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Żurrieq's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pietà Hotspurs than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pietà Hotspurs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Żurrieq, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.63)
    3.5
    (3.8)
    3.57
    (4.5)
    11%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).
    • Pietà Hotspurs is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Żurrieq has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Pietà Hotspurs is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pietà Hotspurs won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pietà Hotspurs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Żurrieq - Pietà Hotspurs 1:1
    22.09.2024 Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq 1:2
    16.03.2024 Żurrieq - Pietà Hotspurs 3:0
    10.02.2024 Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq 2:0
    03.02.2024 Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq 2:0
    Latest results of Pietà Hotspurs
    Latest results of Żurrieq
    07.02.2026 Sirens - Żurrieq 1:0
    01.02.2026 Żurrieq - Mġarr United 1:1
    18.01.2026 Swieqi United - Żurrieq 3:1
    11.01.2026 Żurrieq - Mtarfa 1:1
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1784535:251028
    2Santa Lucia1757530:27322
    3Gudja1757517:18-122
    4Zurrieq17521025:29-417
    5Vittoriosa1744921:27-616
    6Zebbug17331116:38-2212
    7Marsa17251021:32-119
    8Mtarfa1711159:78-69-2

          Relegation