Al-Gharafa vs Al-Shamal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Qatar QSL Cup Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal
27/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • QSL Cup - Round 4

Chances of winning


Al-Gharafa
35.5%
Draw
27.2%
Al-Shamal
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.2% 29% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8% 28.5% 44.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Gharafa's performance.
  • Al-Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Shamal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Gharafa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Shamal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (3.42)
    3.34
    (3.2)
    2.43
    (2.12)
    10.4%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Al-Shamal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:14. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa 0:0
    08.02.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa 1:2
    13.09.2024 Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal 1:1
    28.04.2024 Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa 1:0
    09.12.2023 Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    25.10.2025 Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Gharafa 1:3
    17.10.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sailiya 0:3
    02.10.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Shamal
    25.10.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Shamal 2:0
    18.10.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Markhiya 5:0
    03.10.2025 Al-Shamal - Al Bidda 3:3
    27.09.2025 Qatar SC - Al-Shamal 1:1
    23.09.2025 Al-Shahania - Al-Shamal 0:0
    Qatar QSL Cup Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Kharitiyath431014:31110
    2Umm-Salal431012:3910
    3Al Arabi431012:3910
    4Al Rayyan431015:8710
    5Al Sailiya43017:439
    6Al Khor42117:437
    7Al-Shahaniya42116:427
    8Al-Waab41305:416
    9Shamal41219:635
    10Muaither SC41217:615
    11Al Mesaimeer41216:605
    12Al Bidda41218:9-15
    13Lusail41128:12-44
    14Al Markhiya41123:8-54
    15Al-Duhail41122:9-74
    16Qatar SC41039:13-43
    17Al Wakra40137:11-41
    18Al-Gharafa40135:12-71
    19Al-Sadd40136:14-81
    20Al Ahli Doha40132:11-91

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