Deportivo La Guaira vs Caracas: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas
Result
0:2
06/03/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.54
Ball Possession
65%35%
Goal Attempts
256
Shots on Goal
52
Shots off Goal
143
Blocked Shots
61
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
60
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
142
Hit the Woodwork
11
Goalkeeper Saves
15
Free Kicks
1611
Offsides
00
Fouls
1116
Yellow Cards
22
Throw-ins
2114
Touches in the Opposition Box
238
Passes
84% (404/480)74% (197/266)
Passes in the final third
71% (114/160)64% (30/47)
Crosses
24% (6/25)40% (4/10)
Tackles
71% (12/17)58% (11/19)
Clearances Total
732
Interceptions
912

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Echenique E. , Yendis J. (A),
  • 29', Mago L. 🟨,
  • 42', Perdomo J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Heraldez L. , Aguilar D. ,
  • 56', 0 - 2, Echenique E. ,
  • 58', Rivas Y. , Uribe A. ,
  • 58', Lamadrid K. , Caraballo J. ,
  • 61', Correa W. , Edet B. ,
  • 63', Covea M. , Jimenez N. ,
  • 65', Aguilar D. 🟨,
  • 68', Perdomo J. , Castillo S. ,
  • 68', Meza J. , Castellanos J. ,
  • 74', Flores F. , Arias J. ,
  • 75', Echenique E. , Hernandez J. ,
  • 81', De Santis J. , Reinoso L. ,
  • 85', Gutierrez J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Deportivo La Guaira
37.6%
Draw
31.4%
Caracas
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 28.9% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 30.2% 39.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caracas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo La Guaira that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caracas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.82)
    3
    (3.23)
    3.03
    (2.46)
    6.4%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

  • Watch this match and Copa Sudamericana with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra En Español
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Caracas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo La Guaira: 4%71%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo La Guaira won 1.
    • Deportivo La Guaira is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Caracas is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Deportivo La Guaira won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 19:36 (average 1:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo La Guaira won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:17 (average 1.1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas 1:0
    17.07.2024 Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas 0:0
    02.02.2024 Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira 2:0
    02.07.2023 Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas 2:2
    13.05.2023 Caracas - Deportivo La Guaira 1:1
    Latest results of Deportivo La Guaira
    Latest results of Caracas
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Deportivo La Guaira - Caracas?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
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