Oriente Petrolero vs Real Tomayapo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	1.50
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
7	7
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	6
Passes
74% (243/330)	72% (246/341)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	1.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.92	0.98
Total shots
15	16
Shots on target
7	7
Shots off target
7	7
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
10	9
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
23	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
9	21
Passes
74% (243/330)	72% (246/341)
Long passes
48% (34/71)	41% (26/64)
Passes in final third
62% (72/117)	66% (77/116)
Crosses
8% (1/12)	32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.57	1.04
Throw-ins
24	20
Fouls
21	9
Tackles
94% (16/17)	86% (12/14)
Duels won
42	50
Clearances
28	23
Interceptions
8	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
6	5
xGOT faced
0.98	1.92
Goals prevented
-0.03	-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Nava F. ⚽,
44', Centurion R. ↓, Chala W. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pinto D. ↓, Fernandez B. ↑,
50', Vaca P. 🟨,
56', Ramallo D. ↓, Sandoval S. ↑,
62', Cristaldo J. E. ↓, Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↑,
62', Rojas D. ↓, Caire M. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Chala W. ⚽,
71', Chala W. 🟨,
72', Siles O. ↓, Figueroa L. ↑,
72', Barbery Gil M. G. ↓, Perez D. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Fernandez B. ⚽, Perez D. (A),
83', Aguilar F. 🟨,
88', Lima R. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
90+2', Nava F. ↓, Arabe C. ↑,
90+2', Diez R. ↓, Bejarano Di. ↑,

Chances of winning

Oriente Petrolero
58.2%

Draw
23%

Real Tomayapo
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

26%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriente Petrolero's performance.

Real Tomayapo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriente Petrolero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Tomayapo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Oriente Petrolero - Real Tomayapo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.81)	4 ↑ (3.4)	4.94 ↑ (4.03)	8.8% (9.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero - Real Tomayapo?

Users Predictions: Oriente Petrolero will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Oriente Petrolero will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Oriente Petrolero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Oriente Petrolero has had a series of away games.
In this match, Oriente Petrolero is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Oriente Petrolero won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 2.6:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Oriente Petrolero won against Real Tomayapo?

Oriente Petrolero has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Tomayapo won against Oriente Petrolero?

Real Tomayapo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oriente Petrolero - Real Tomayapo were as follows:

21.12.2024 Real Tomayapo - Oriente Petrolero 4:3

21.09.2024 Oriente Petrolero - Real Tomayapo 4:2

15.08.2023 Real Tomayapo - Oriente Petrolero 1:0

12.08.2023 Oriente Petrolero - Real Tomayapo 2:0

11.03.2023 Real Tomayapo - Oriente Petrolero 1:1

Latest results of Oriente Petrolero

25.06.2025 Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero 3:3 ✺

22.06.2025 Blooming - Oriente Petrolero 2:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Jorge Wilstermann 2:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero 1:3 ✺

21.05.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Oriente Petrolero 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Tomayapo

24.06.2025 Real Oruro - Real Tomayapo 2:0 ✺

20.06.2025 Real Tomayapo - Real Oruro 3:2 ✺

14.06.2025 Real Tomayapo - Blooming 2:2 ✺

27.05.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Real Tomayapo 0:0 ✺

21.05.2025 Real Tomayapo - Always Ready 3:2 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	19	13	4	2	53:21	32	43
2	The Strongest	19	14	1	4	52:32	20	43
3	Bolivar	19	11	4	4	47:21	26	37
4	Blooming	19	10	4	5	36:31	5	34
5	SA Bulo Bulo	20	7	7	6	35:31	4	28
6	GV San Jose	20	8	3	9	27:32	-5	27
7	Guabira	19	7	4	8	32:36	-4	25
8	Independiente	19	6	6	7	30:38	-8	24
9	Nacional Potosi	20	6	5	9	32:27	5	23
10	Real Oruro	20	6	5	9	33:38	-5	23
11	Oriente Petrolero	20	6	5	9	30:38	-8	23
12	Universitario de Vinto	19	6	5	8	24:32	-8	23
13	Academia del Balompie	20	4	8	8	20:32	-12	20
14	Tomayapo	19	4	8	7	19:32	-13	20
15	Wilstermann	20	1	5	14	16:45	-29	8
16	Aurora	20	8	4	8	37:37	0	-5

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation