Alexey Vatutin vs Andrea Guerrieri – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
17/11/2025 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bergamo - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
65%55%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (24/43)65% (22/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
35% (8/23)54% (15/28)
Break Points Saved
55% (6/11)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
44% (15/34)44% (19/43)
2nd Return Points Won
46% (13/28)65% (15/23)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)45% (5/11)
Winners
1215
Unforced Errors
2927
Net Points Won
71% (5/7)100% (2/2)
Service Points Won
49% (32/65)59% (36/61)
Return Points Won
41% (25/61)51% (33/65)
Total Points Won
45% (57/126)55% (69/126)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
44% (4/9)78% (7/9)
Return Games Won
22% (2/9)56% (5/9)
Total Games Won
33% (6/18)67% (12/18)

Chances of winning


Alexey Vatutin
62.1%
Andrea Guerrieri
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.2% 36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Andrea Guerrieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Guerrieri than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • Alexey Vatutin - Andrea Guerrieri Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.47)

    2.46
    (2.52)
    7.5%
    (7.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Vatutin is ranked ATP: 382. Guerrieri is ranked ATP: 570.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Vatutin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Vatutin might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vatutin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexey Vatutin - Andrea Guerrieri were as follows:
    07.02.2024 Andrea Guerrieri - Alexey Vatutin Vatutin A. retired
    Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
    Latest results of Andrea Guerrieri
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mochizuki S. (1)Arnaboldi F. (LL)1 : 2
    2Andaloro F. (RET.) (Alt)Fatic N.0 : 1
    3Travaglia S.Dodig M.2 : 1
    4Karol M. (Q)Pellegrino A. (6)2 : 0
    5Passaro F. (4)Ribecai M. (Q)2 : 0
    6Sciahbasi L. (WC)Durasovic V.2 : 1
    7Brunold M. (Alt)Zhukayev B.1 : 2
    8Topo M.Choinski J. (5)2 : 0
    9Maestrelli F. (8)Ruusuvuori E. (PR)2 : 1
    10Basile P. (WC)Gadamauri B. (Q)0 : 2
    11Visker N. (LL)Gentzsch T.
    12Napolitano S. (PR)Virtanen O. (3)
    13Lajal M. (7)Vatutin A. (LL)
    14Engel J.Stewart H. (RET.) (Q)0 : 0
    15Donski A. (Q)Tabacco F. (WC)2 : 1
    16Guerrieri A. (Q)Harris B. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Arnaboldi F.Fatic N.
    2Travaglia S.Karol M.
    3Passaro F. (4)Sciahbasi L.
    4Zhukayev B.Topo M.
    5Maestrelli F. (8)Gadamauri B.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13Engel J.
    8Donski A.Guerrieri A.

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2