Mito HollyHock vs Renofa Yamaguchi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi
Result
2:2
30/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
66
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
82% (357/436)68% (225/329)
Yellow Cards
30
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
125
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
917
Passes
82% (357/436)68% (225/329)
Fouls
147
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Omori S. , Osaki K. (A),
  • 45+5', Watanabe A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Arita R. , Isotani S. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 1, Watanabe A. , Kato C. (A),
  • 59', Iida T. 🟨,
  • 66', Tsukagawa K. , Nagao Y. ,
  • 66', Saito S. , Kubo S. ,
  • 70', Misawa N. , Kobayashi S. ,
  • 70', Noyori K. , Nishido H. ,
  • 70', Mineda Y. , Naruoka H. ,
  • 79', Chinen T. , Fofana M. ,
  • 79', Kato C. , Tada K. ,
  • 81', Wakasa Y. , Furukawa D. ,
  • 87', Okaniwa S. , Kim Byeom-Yong ,
  • 88', Watanabe A. , Okita S. ,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Arita R. , Furukawa D. (A),
  • 90+2', Okita S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mito HollyHock
46.4%
Draw
29.7%
Renofa Yamaguchi
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 25.8% 21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 25% 20.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mito HollyHock's form might have worsened.
  • Renofa Yamaguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mito HollyHock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.73)
    3.11
    (3.56)
    3.92
    (4.35)
    7.9%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi?
  • Users Predictions: Mito HollyHock will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mito HollyHock will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 4.
    • Mito HollyHock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Renofa Yamaguchi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Mito HollyHock is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mito HollyHock won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi were as follows:
    06.05.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock 1:2
    29.06.2024 Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi 1:1
    21.04.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock 1:2
    03.09.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi - Mito HollyHock 1:2
    07.06.2023 Mito HollyHock - Renofa Yamaguchi 1:0
    Latest results of Mito HollyHock
    Latest results of Renofa Yamaguchi
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito28158544:271753
    2Chiba28156739:251451
    3V-Varen Nagasaki28149546:38851
    4Tokushima28139628:151348
    5Omiya Ardija28138738:231547
    6Vegalta Sendai281211532:26647
    7Iwata28136943:36745
    8Imabari281110735:29643
    9Sagan Tosu28127931:29243
    10Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo281241235:44-940
    11Kofu281081029:27238
    12Iwaki28991039:36336
    13Montedio Yamagata28951439:41-232
    14Fujieda MYFC28881234:37-332
    15Blaublitz28951436:46-1032
    16Kumamoto28861433:42-930
    17Oita Trinita286111122:32-1029
    18Toyama28581522:36-1423
    19Renofa Yamaguchi283131225:36-1122
    20Ehime282111525:50-2517

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League