Dynamo Dresden vs Elversberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 22
  • Referee: Braun R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaRTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyRTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.761.03
Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
45
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
56
Passes
76% (290/384)83% (407/493)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
0.761.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.741.11
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
99
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2834
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1314
Passes
76% (290/384)83% (407/493)
Long passes
38% (23/61)55% (32/58)
Passes in final third
61% (74/121)72% (108/149)
Crosses
13% (2/16)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.641.11
Throw ins
2018
Fouls
1413
Tackles
67% (14/21)80% (8/10)
Duels won
5147
Clearances
3529
Interceptions
1213
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.110.74
Goals prevented
0.11-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Poreba L. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 0, Rossipal A. , Bobzien B. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', Keller T. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Mickelson N. , Rohr M. (A),
  • 59', Vermeij V. , Daferner C. ,
  • 59', Bobzien B. , Lemmer J. ,
  • 65', Amoako K. 🟨,
  • 71', Mickelson N. , Gunther L. ,
  • 71', Amoako K. , Herrmann L. ,
  • 72', Ceka J. , Froling N. ,
  • 78', 1 - 2, Petkov L. ,
  • 79', Hauptmann N. , Kutschke S. ,
  • 80', Rohr M. 🟨,
  • 82', Zimmerschied T. , Pherai I. ,
  • 82', Mokwa Ntusu D. , Le Joncour F. ,
  • 82', Rohr M. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 85', Sterner J. 🟨,
  • 89', Keidel F. , Schmahl F. ,
  • 90+5', Kristof N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Dynamo Dresden
30.2%
Draw
27.3%
Elversberg
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 26.7% 44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9% 26% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dynamo Dresden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Elversberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (3.18)
    3.46
    (3.47)
    2.21
    (2.1)
    6.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Elversberg will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elversberg will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga and 4).
    • Dynamo Dresden is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Elversberg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Elversberg could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Dynamo Dresden: Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Elversberg: Gunther L. (Muscle Injury) Pantschenko D. (Illness) Pherai I. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Dynamo Dresden won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Dresden - Elversberg were as follows:
    14.09.2025 Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden 2:2
    26.02.2023 Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden 1:1
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    Latest results of Elversberg
    07.02.2026 Elversberg - Hertha Berlin 0:3
    25.01.2026 Elversberg - Bochum 1:1
    17.01.2026 Nürnberg - Elversberg 3:2
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke ✔ 32207549:282167
    2Paderborn31177754:381658
    3Hannover31169653:371657
    4Elversberg31168755:352056
    5Darmstadt311312655:401551
    6Hertha Berlin31139944:36848
    7Kaiserslautern321441449:47246
    8Holstein Kiel321181342:43-141
    9Nurnberg311181240:41-141
    10Bochum3210101246:45140
    11Karlsruher SC311171348:59-1140
    12SG Dynamo Dresden321081451:50138
    13Arminia Bielefeld32991447:48-136
    14Braunschweig32971634:52-1834
    15Dusseldorf321041830:49-1934
    16Magdeburg311031848:56-833
    17Greuther Furth31961644:65-2133
    18Preussen Munster316101534:54-2028

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Schalke is Qualified for Bundesliga