UNA Strassen vs Differdange 03 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
03/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BGL Ligue - Round 13

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', D'Anzico K. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Perez N. , Agovic E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', Agovic A. 🟨,
  • 51', Lempereur D. 🟨,
  • 54', 2 - 0, Agovic E. , Goncalves J. (A),
  • 61', Mfoumou B. , Pacheco E. ,
  • 61', El Idrissi A. , Pinto R. ,
  • 71', Jakobi L. , Hadji S. ,
  • 73', Vova , Dadashev D. ,
  • 73', Perez N. , Romeyns B. ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Hadji S. ,
  • 79', Matheus Souza 🟨,
  • 80', Goncalves J. , Pimentel D. ,
  • 81', Franzoni G. , Bei G. ,
  • 82', Rauch L. 🟨,
  • 83', Dadashev D. 🟨,
  • 86', 3 - 1, Romeyns B. ,
  • 90+2', Agovic E. , Brandenburger E. ,
  • 90+2', Matheus Souza , Grym R. ,

Chances of winning


UNA Strassen
32.2%
Draw
31.4%
Differdange 03
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 26.8% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 24.8% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNA Strassen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UNA Strassen's performance.
  • Differdange 03 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Differdange 03 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNA Strassen than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNA Strassen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Differdange 03 than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Differdange 03 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • UNA Strassen - Differdange 03 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.83
    (3.47)
    2.9
    (3.44)
    2.5
    (1.97)
    9.9%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for UNA Strassen - Differdange 03?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Differdange 03 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNA Strassen won 1.
    • In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
    • Differdange 03 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Differdange 03 has had a series of home games.
    • Differdange 03 could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNA Strassen won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 24:44. (average 1.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNA Strassen won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.6:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNA Strassen - Differdange 03 were as follows:
    26.06.2025 UNA Strassen - Differdange 03 1:2
    25.05.2025 UNA Strassen - Differdange 03 1:0
    05.08.2024 Differdange 03 - UNA Strassen 2:0
    10.03.2024 Differdange 03 - UNA Strassen 2:0
    17.09.2023 UNA Strassen - Differdange 03 2:2
    Latest results of UNA Strassen
    Latest results of Differdange 03
    Luxembourg National Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Differdange19135144:133144
    2UNA Strassen19123443:192439
    3Bissen19123442:182439
    4Mondorf19130634:151939
    5Dudelange19114442:271537
    6Jeunesse Esch1976623:20327
    7Niedercorn1974828:27125
    8Jeunesse Canach1973925:27-224
    9Hostert1966719:29-1024
    10Hesperange1964921:29-822
    11Racing Luxembourg1955924:32-820
    12Victoria Rosport1955918:29-1120
    13Kaerjeng19541028:34-619
    14FC Mamer19511321:44-2316
    15Rodange19361015:43-2815
    16Union Titus Petange19351116:37-2114

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          BGL Ligue (Relegation)
          Relegation