Unión San Felipe vs Curicó Unido – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chilean Primera B Unión San Felipe - Curicó Unido
Result
4:2
06/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Ascenso - Round 24

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
116
Corner Kicks
22
Yellow Cards
38
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
116
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
22
Goalkeeper Saves
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', Monteseirin F. 🟨,
  • 12', Sanhueza H. 🟨,
  • 24', Gonzalez B. 🟨,
  • 37', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Vergara S. ,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Gonzalez B. ,
  • 45', Munoz H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Guisolfo B. , Quinteros M. ,
  • 46', Ibarra H. , Saez W. ,
  • 51', Ormazabal M. , Perez F. ,
  • 56', Saez W. 🟨,
  • 58', Quinteros M. 🟨,
  • 61', Leiva Y. 🟨,
  • 67', 3 - 0, Gonzalez D. (Pen),
  • 67', Gonzalez B. , Herrera H. ,
  • 68', Riveros B. , Cuellar D. ,
  • 68', Sagredo B. , Rodriguez P. ,
  • 71', Monteseirin F. , Ulloa H. ,
  • 76', 3 - 1, Quinteros M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Bustamante C. ,
  • 84', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
  • 86', Saez W. 🟨,
  • 88', Fernandez N. , Barrios N. ,
  • 90', 4 - 2, Cuellar D. ,

Chances of winning


Unión San Felipe
61.6%
Draw
22.2%
Curicó Unido
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 28.4% 40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 27.1% 42.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Unión San Felipe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unión San Felipe's performance.
  • Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Curicó Unido might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión San Felipe than the current prediction. (-32.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unión San Felipe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+26.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Curicó Unido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Unión San Felipe - Curicó Unido Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (3.01)
    5.22
    (3.25)
    7.14
    (2.26)
    -13.6%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Unión San Felipe - Curicó Unido?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Unión San Felipe will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Curicó Unido will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Unión San Felipe: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Unión San Felipe (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 1.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Unión San Felipe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Unión San Felipe might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Unión San Felipe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.5:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Unión San Felipe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 2.3:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Unión San Felipe - Curicó Unido were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Curicó Unido - Unión San Felipe 3:0
    14.07.2024 Unión San Felipe - Curicó Unido 3:1
    23.02.2024 Curicó Unido - Unión San Felipe 2:0
    Latest results of Curicó Unido