Result
0:3
04/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 28
- Referee: Radina M. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (261/338) | 73% (200/275) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 3.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (261/338) | 73% (200/275) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (24/51) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (60/100) | 69% (62/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 24% (8/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.65 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 26', 0 - 1, Jawo L. ⚽, Zorvan F. (A),
- 28', Kozel L. 🟨,
- 36', 0 - 2, Holly D. ⚽, Jawo L. (A),
- 37', Jugas J. ↓, Petruta S. ↑,
- 44', Nombil C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Pisoja M. ↓, Koubek M. ↑,
- 51', Petruta S. 🟨,
- 54', Kopecny M. 🟨,
- 58', Pesek J. ↓, Penkevics K. ↑,
- 59', 0 - 3, Tekijaski N. ⚽, Zorvan F. (A),
- 66', Jawo L. ↓, Chramosta J. ↑,
- 69', Kanu S. ↓, Poznar T. ↑,
- 69', Nombil C. ↓, Kalabiska J. ↑,
- 75', Holly D. ↓, Okeke N. ↑,
- 75', Singhateh E. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
- 82', Penkevics K. 🟨,
- 84', Pantalon R. 🟨,
- 85', Zorvan F. ↓, Lavrincik S. ↑,
- 85', Soucek D. ↓, Malensek M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zlín
29.2% | Draw
30.1% | Jablonec
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zlín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Jablonec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Zlín - Jablonec Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.2 ↑
(3.06) |
3.09 ↓
(3.23) |
2.3
(2.3) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Zlín - Jablonec?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Zlín will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Jablonec will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Jablonec (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 1.
- Zlín has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jablonec has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Zlín: Bartosak L.
(Yellow Cards)
Kolar J.
(Elbow Injury)
- There will not play in Jablonec: Alegue A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Jablonec: Hanus J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zlín won 1 match, drew 9 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:31. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zlín won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Jablonec?
Zlín has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jablonec won against Zlín?
Jablonec has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zlín - Jablonec were as follows:
01.11.2025
Jablonec
-
Zlín
1:3
25.05.2024
Jablonec
-
Zlín
1:0
20.04.2024
Jablonec
-
Zlín
0:0
11.11.2023
Zlín
-
Jablonec
1:1
06.05.2023
Zlín
-
Jablonec
1:1
Latest results of Jablonec
Draw
7th-10th placesSemi-finals| 1 | Sigma Olomouc (7) | Bohemians (10) | 3 : 1 |
| 2 | FK Pardubice (8) | Karvina (9) | 2 : 1 |
