Result
1:0
31/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 6
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (215/317) | 82% (379/462) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (215/317) | 82% (379/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (15/58) | 58% (38/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 40% (32/80) | 68% (75/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 29% (8/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Ilaimaharitra M. 🟨,
- 26', Vlietinck T. 🟨,
- 31', Dierckx D. 🟨,
- 36', Ominami T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Homawoo J. ↓, Hautekiet I. ↑,
- 61', Terho C. ↓, Verstraete B. ↑,
- 61', Vlietinck T. ↓, Opoku D. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Dierckx D. (Own goal),
- 68', Mohr T. ↓, Abid A. ↑,
- 69', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, El Hankouri M. ↑,
- 73', Traore A. K. ↓, Ikwuemesi C. ↑,
- 73', Lakomy L. ↓, Maziz Y. ↑,
- 75', Nielsen C. ↓, Sahabo H. ↑,
- 75', Lawrence H. ↓, Calut A. ↑,
- 79', Fossey M. 🟨,
- 86', Mijatovic J. ↓, Maertens M. ↑,
- 90+5', Schrijvers S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
42.2% | Draw
30.3% | Standard Liège
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oud-Heverlee Leuven than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↑
(2.23) |
3.12 ↓
(3.33) |
3.45 ↑
(3.23) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Leuven will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Standard will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Standard: 42.8% – 90.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Standard Liège will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 3.
- Recent form of Leuven has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Standard has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Leuven may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Leuven will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Standard: Bates D.
(Knee Injury)
Eckert Ayensa D.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Leuven: Gil O.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Leuven won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:20. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Leuven won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Oud-Heverlee Leuven won against Standard Liège?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against Oud-Heverlee Leuven?
Standard Liège has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Standard Liège were as follows:
26.04.2025
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Standard Liège
1:1
22.04.2025
Standard Liège
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
0:1
07.12.2024
Standard Liège
-
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
1:1
31.08.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Standard Liège
2:0
05.05.2024
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
-
Standard Liège
3:1
Latest results of Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Latest results of Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 20 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Charleroi | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 | Gent | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Waregem | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Westerlo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 14 | Genk | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Leuven | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 | Dender | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2:13 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
