Milan vs Atalanta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A
Football Italian Serie A Milan - Atalanta
Result
0:1
20/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 33
  • Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaTLN, VIVA
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport Open Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
indiaIndiaGXR World
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaK24
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Sports, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play, Premier Football
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 1
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.83
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
86% (421/488)88% (467/530)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.611.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.050.47
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1223
Through passes
33% (3/9)0% (0/1)
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
78
Passes
86% (421/488)88% (467/530)
Long passes
52% (22/42)55% (28/51)
Passes in final third
70% (74/105)79% (127/160)
Crosses
19% (3/16)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.881.43
Fouls
87
Tackles
56% (9/16)60% (9/15)
Duels won
4043
Clearances Total
1818
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.470.05
Goals prevented
-0.530.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', Cuadrado J. 🟨,
  • 59', Cuadrado J. ↓, Ruggeri M. ↑,
  • 59', Zappacosta D. ↓, Toloi R. ↑,
  • 59', Djimsiti B. ↓, Kossounou O. ↑,
  • 62', 0 - 1, Ederson ⚽, Bellanova R. (A),
  • 75', Jimenez A. ↓, Joao Felix ↑,
  • 75', Jovic L. ↓, Abraham T. ↑,
  • 75', Pulisic C. ↓, Sottil R. ↑,
  • 80', Pasalic M. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
  • 83', Tomori F. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
  • 83', Leao R. ↓, Chukwueze S. ↑,
  • 90+1', Retegui M. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,

Chances of winning


Milan
37.1%		Draw
26.7%		Atalanta
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 27.9% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 28.3% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milan than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
    •

    Milan - Atalanta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.57 ↑
    (2.52)    		 3.57 ↑
    (3.44)    		 2.64 ↓
    (2.83)    		 4.7%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

  • Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FOX Deportes
    •
    What is the prediction for Milan - Atalanta?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Milan will win (votes: 11 - 30.6%). Atalanta will win (votes: 17 - 47.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 30.9% – 63.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Atalanta (votes: 3 - 75%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atalanta will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Milan won 1.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Atalanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Milan: Emerson Royal (Calf Injury) Loftus-Cheek R. (Surgery) Walker K. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Palestra M. (Inactive) Posch S. (Thigh Injury) Scalvini G. (Shoulder Injury) Scamacca G. (Thigh Injury) Tornaghi P. (Inactive)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Milan won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:29 (average 1.2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Milan won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:11 (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Milan - Atalanta were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Atalanta - Milan 2:1
    25.02.2024 Milan - Atalanta 1:1
    10.01.2024 Milan - Atalanta 1:2
    09.12.2023 Atalanta - Milan 3:2
    26.02.2023 Milan - Atalanta 2:0
    Latest results of Milan
    11.04.2025 Udinese - Milan 0:4 ✺
    05.04.2025 Milan - Fiorentina 2:2 ✺
    02.04.2025 Milan - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Napoli - Milan 2:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Milan - Como 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Atalanta
    13.04.2025 Atalanta - Bologna 2:0 ✺
    06.04.2025 Atalanta - Lazio 0:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 Fiorentina - Atalanta 1:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Juventus - Atalanta 0:4 ✺
    01.03.2025 Atalanta - Venezia 0:0 ✺
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

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