Result
 
                    0:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        09/08/2025 at  12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Jupiler Pro League - Round 3
 
                                                - Referee: Allaerts M. (Bel)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 | 
 Netherlands | Sporza | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.58 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 48% | 52% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 18 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 5 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (309/375) | 86% (361/420) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.95 | 0.58 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.06 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 18 | 6 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 10 | 2 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 0 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 5 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 35 | 21 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 8 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (309/375) | 86% (361/420) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 60% (31/52) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 72% (99/138) | 70% (57/82) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 20% (3/15) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.40 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 27 | 22 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 9 | 7 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 76% (16/21) | 78% (14/18) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 53 | 52 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 35 | 36 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 12 | 7 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.19 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.19 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 18', Halhal R. 🟨, 
 - 25', Nacho 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 1)
 - 46', Yow G. ↓, Mebude A. ↑, 
 - 46', Neustadter R. ↓, Lapage A. ↑, 
 - 60', Zekri M. ↓, Antonio B. ↑, 
 - 60', Mrabti K. ↓, Raman B. ↑, 
 - 60', Belghali R. ↓, St. Jago T. ↑, 
 - 70', Pflucke P. ↓, Struyf I. ↑, 
 - 72', Nacho ↓, Frigan M. ↑, 
 - 73', Alcocer J. ↓, Cordero A. ↑, 
 - 80', Lauberbach L. ↓, Ozdemir H. ↑, 
 - 84', 0 - 1, Raman B. ⚽, Bafdili B. (A), 
 - 87', Van den Keybus T. ↓, Vaesen K. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Westerlo  42.6% | Draw  25.2% | KV Mechelen  32.3% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Westerlo - KV Mechelen Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   2.25 ↑ (2.14) | 
			   3.76 ↓ (3.82) | 
			   2.94 ↓ (3.14) | 
			   5.1% (4.8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Westerlo - KV Mechelen?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            13 users predict this event. Westerlo will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Westerlo: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Westerlo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%). 
 
                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                      
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 2.
 - The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
 - Westerlo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
 - Recently, Westerlo has had a series of home games.
  - The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
 - There will not play in Mechelen: Kiki
(Surgery)
St. Jago T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
 - There are questionable in Westerlo: Goure F.
(Knee Injury)
 - In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Westerlo won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 34:48. (average 1.7:2.4).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Westerlo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1.2:2.4).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Westerlo won against KV Mechelen?
                    
                    
                        
                            Westerlo has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Westerlo?
                    
                    
                        
                             KV Mechelen has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Westerlo - KV Mechelen were as follows:
                                                        
                                26.04.2025 
                                Westerlo 
                                - 
                                KV Mechelen 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.04.2025 
                                KV Mechelen 
                                - 
                                Westerlo 
                                2:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.12.2024 
                                Westerlo 
                                - 
                                KV Mechelen 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.08.2024 
                                KV Mechelen 
                                - 
                                Westerlo 
                                2:4
                            
        
                                                        
                                18.05.2024 
                                Westerlo 
                                - 
                                KV Mechelen 
                                0:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Westerlo                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of KV Mechelen                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 32 | 
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 21:12 | 9 | 29 | 
| 3 | Anderlecht | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 20:13 | 7 | 22 | 
| 4 | St. Truiden | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 21 | 
| 5 | Gent | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 | 
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18:16 | 2 | 20 | 
| 7 | Genk | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 | 
| 8 | Waregem | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 | 
| 9 | St. Liege | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 17 | 
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 17 | 
| 11 | Westerlo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:22 | -3 | 15 | 
| 12 | Charleroi | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 15 | 
| 13 | Leuven | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 12 | 
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17:19 | -2 | 12 | 
| 15 | Antwerp | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 11 | 
| 16 | Dender | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 6:21 | -15 | 4 | 
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