Michael Van Gerwen vs Luke Littler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Littler L.
19/02/2026 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Night 3 - Quarter-finals

Chances of winning


Michael Van Gerwen
29.1%
Luke Littler
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 65.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Michael Van Gerwen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Luke Littler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Van Gerwen than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Michael Van Gerwen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Littler than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luke Littler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.19
    (3.1)

    1.33
    (1.35)
    6.4%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
    What is the prediction for Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Littler will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Littler (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:6.
  • Preview Facts
    • Van Gerwen is ranked World Ranking: 4. Littler is ranked World Ranking: 1.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 2.
    • Currently, both players are in excellent shape.
    • Van Gerwen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Littler is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Littler will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Van Gerwen won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 60:79. (average 4.3:5.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler were as follows:
    24.04.2025 Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler 6:5
    06.03.2025 Michael Van Gerwen - Luke Littler 2:6
    13.02.2025 Luke Littler - Michael Van Gerwen 6:2
    06.02.2025 Luke Littler - Michael Van Gerwen 5:6
    25.01.2025 Luke Littler - Michael Van Gerwen 6:3
    Latest results of Michael Van Gerwen
    Latest results of Luke Littler
    Draw
    Night 5

    Quarter-finals
    1van Gerwen M.Humphries L.1 : 6
    2van Veen G.Clayton J.4 : 6
    3Price G.Bunting S.6 : 5
    4Littler L.Rock J.6 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Humphries L.Clayton J.4 : 6
    2Price G.Littler L.

    Final
    1Clayton J.TBD #2