Result
1:0 penalties
05/04/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tocantinense - Play Offs - Final
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Paulo M. (Pen),
- 1, Marcio (Pen),
- 2, Gabriel (Pen),
- 2, Pantera D. (Pen),
- 3, Tiburcio (Pen),
- 3, Wanderson (Pen),
- 4, Rivaldo (Pen),
- 4, Afonso F. (Pen),
- 5, William (Pen),
- 5, Morais B. (Pen),
Chances of winning
União Carmolandense
27.4% | Draw
34.1% | Araguaína
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União Carmolandense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that União Carmolandense's form might have worsened.Araguaína has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for União Carmolandense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araguaína than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
União Carmolandense - Araguaína Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.54) |
2.67 ↓
(3.2) |
2.37 ↓
(2.5) |
9.6%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tocantinense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Recent matches União Carmolandense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Araguaína is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Araguaína could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Araguaína is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches União Carmolandense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1.3:0.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams União Carmolandense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0 (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has União Carmolandense won against Araguaína?
União Carmolandense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Araguaína won against União Carmolandense?
Araguaína has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União Carmolandense - Araguaína were as follows:
01.03.2025
União Carmolandense
-
Araguaína
2:0
16.03.2024
Araguaína
-
União Carmolandense
1:1
24.02.2024
União Carmolandense
-
Araguaína
1:0
Latest results of União Carmolandense
Latest results of Araguaína
Draw
Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Capital FC | Araguaina | 0 : 3, 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Tocantinopolis | Uniao Carmolandense | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Araguaina | Uniao Carmolandense | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
