Gaziantep vs Hatayspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
13/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 31
  • Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.851.45
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2417
Shots on target
55
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
88% (419/476)82% (304/372)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
2.851.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.791.26
Total shots
2417
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
137
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
1212
Shots outside the Box
125
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
5021
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
98
Passes
88% (419/476)82% (304/372)
Long passes
56% (24/43)46% (27/59)
Passes in final third
79% (128/162)61% (49/80)
Crosses
25% (4/16)50% (11/22)
Expected assists (xA)
2.111.01
Fouls
89
Tackles
76% (13/17)57% (8/14)
Duels won
5136
Clearances Total
2319
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.261.79
Goals prevented
0.35-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 28', Sertel C. 🟨,
  • 31', Yilmaz R. B. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Aboubakar V. , Saglam G. (A),
  • 44', Husic A. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Boateng E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Parmak A. 🟨,
  • 47', Husic A. , Tasdemir E. ,
  • 47', Bozan M. , Dioudis S. ,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Dervisoglu H. , Okereke D. (A),
  • 71', Dervisoglu H. , Daubin Q. ,
  • 72', Yilmaz R. B. , Corekci K. ,
  • 76', Bamgboye F. , Fernandes J. ,
  • 80', Saglam G. 🟨,
  • 83', Maxim A. , Soyalp F. ,
  • 83', Aboubakar V. , Okoronkwo J. ,

Chances of winning


Gaziantep
60.5%
Draw
20.8%
Hatayspor
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 20.4% 16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2% 19.5% 15.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gaziantep has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Hatayspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaziantep than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gaziantep, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hatayspor than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Gaziantep - Hatayspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.5)
    4.54
    (4.64)
    5.13
    (5.82)
    5.9%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Gaziantep - Hatayspor?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaziantep will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gaziantep will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gaziantep won 1.
    • Gaziantep is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Hatayspor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Gaziantep is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Gaziantep: Kozlowski K. (Yellow Cards) Lungoyi C. (Yellow Cards) Stephen G. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Hatayspor: Diack L. (Injury) Massanga Matondo (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Gaziantep won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19:14 (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gaziantep won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gaziantep - Hatayspor were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Hatayspor - Gaziantep 3:1
    05.05.2024 Gaziantep - Hatayspor 1:1
    10.01.2024 Hatayspor - Gaziantep 0:0
    01.02.2023 Gaziantep - Hatayspor 4:1
    14.12.2022 Gaziantep - Hatayspor 1:2
    Latest results of Gaziantep
    07.04.2025 Göztepe - Gaziantep 1:1
    28.03.2025 Konyaspor - Gaziantep 1:0
    15.03.2025 Gaziantep - Kayserispor 1:0
    10.03.2025 Beşiktaş - Gaziantep 1:2
    03.03.2025 Gaziantep - Eyüpspor 3:1
    Latest results of Hatayspor
    06.04.2025 Hatayspor - Eyüpspor 0:1
    28.03.2025 Kayserispor - Hatayspor 5:0
    16.03.2025 Hatayspor - Sivasspor 1:1
    08.03.2025 Trabzonspor - Hatayspor 1:2
    21.02.2025 Bodrumspor - Hatayspor 1:0
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray32235473:274674
    2Fenerbahce322010271:343770
    3Trabzonspor32199459:352466
    4Besiktas ✔ 32178756:362059
    5Goztepe321313640:281252
    6Basaksehir32149953:341951
    7Samsunspor321212843:42148
    8Rizespor3210101244:46-240
    9Konyaspor3210101242:45-340
    10Kocaelispor329101326:36-1037
    11Gaziantep329101341:54-1337
    12Alanyaspor326161037:38-134
    13Kasimpasa327111430:46-1632
    14Eyupspor32781726:45-1929
    15Antalyaspor32781730:51-2129
    16Genclerbirligi32771830:45-1528
    17Kayserispor325121524:58-3427
    18Karagumruk32662028:53-2524

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )