Result
1:2
25/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 14
- Referee: Nielsen J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (520/606) | 78% (340/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (520/606) | 78% (340/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (40/82) | 28% (16/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (92/139) | 68% (84/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Moller R. ⚽, Justinussen A. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Andreasen S. ⚽,
- 29', Schmidt N. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 2, Justinussen A. ⚽, Dedes V. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pedersen M. ↓, Hauge R. ↑,
- 56', Hauge R. 🟨,
- 62', Lauritsen O. ↓, Glindtvad W. ↑,
- 62', Jacobsen M. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
- 62', Schmidt N. ↓, Due Grandt M. ↑,
- 63', Andreasen S. 🟨,
- 71', Jalaei S. 🟨,
- 72', Andreasen S. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
- 72', Hyltoft Z. ↓, Mortensen F. ↑,
- 72', Arndal T. ↓, Toftegaard H. ↑,
- 72', Jalaei S. ↓, Pohl J. ↑,
- 81', Dietz F. 🟨,
- 83', Klitten L. ↓, Lind J. ↑,
- 86', Dedes V. ↓, Boje-Larsen L. ↑,
- 90+3', Boje-Larsen L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hobro
35.9% | Draw
27.4% | Hillerød
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Hobro - Hillerød Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(2.73) |
3.41 ↑
(3.39) |
2.54 ↑
(2.5) |
7.1%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hobro - Hillerød?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Hobro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Hobro has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hobro won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hobro won against Hillerød?
Hobro has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hillerød won against Hobro?
Hillerød has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hobro - Hillerød were as follows:
16.08.2025
Hillerød
-
Hobro
0:2
02.05.2025
Hobro
-
Hillerød
0:0
04.04.2025
Hillerød
-
Hobro
2:0
11.11.2024
Hobro
-
Hillerød
2:2
21.07.2024
Hillerød
-
Hobro
2:2
Latest results of Hillerød
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby ✔ | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 46:22 | 24 | 41 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF ✔ | 21 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 30:23 | 7 | 36 |
| 3 | Esbjerg ✔ | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 4 | Hillerod ✔ | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 5 | Horsens | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 30 |
| 7 | B.93 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 27 |
| 9 | Aalborg | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 32:30 | 2 | 27 |
| 10 | Hobro ✔ | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Koge ✔ | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 23:38 | -15 | 19 |
| 12 | Middelfart ✔ | 21 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 21:43 | -22 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lyngby is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Hvidovre IF is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Esbjerg is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Hillerod is Qualified for 1st Division (Promotion Group )
Hobro is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
Koge is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
Middelfart is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
