Corentin Moutet vs Alejandro Tabilo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/03/2025 at 16:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
62
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
88%83%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (55/96)64% (65/101)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (7/13)35% (7/20)
Break Points Saved
64% (9/14)56% (5/9)
1st Return Points Won
36% (36/101)44% (42/96)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (13/20)46% (6/13)
Break Points Converted
44% (4/9)36% (5/14)
Winners
2026
Unforced Errors
2130
Net Points Won
55% (6/11)74% (20/27)
Service Points Won
56% (60/107)59% (68/115)
Return Points Won
41% (47/115)44% (47/107)
Total Points Won
48% (107/222)52% (115/222)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
20
Service Games Won
69% (11/16)76% (13/17)
Return Games Won
24% (4/17)31% (5/16)
Total Games Won
45% (15/33)55% (18/33)

Chances of winning


Corentin Moutet
59.1%
Alejandro Tabilo
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.3% 54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 53.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Corentin Moutet's performance.
  • Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alejandro Tabilo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corentin Moutet that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alejandro Tabilo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Tabilo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.1)

    2.33
    (1.74)
    5.1%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Tabilo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Moutet will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tabilo will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 25.1%83.9%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Moutet is ranked ATP: 76. Tabilo is ranked ATP: 31.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Moutet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Moutet will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Moutet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Tabilo were as follows:
    02.03.2024 Corentin Moutet - Alejandro Tabilo 1:2
    Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.0 : 0
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.2 : 0
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)2 : 0
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.0 : 1
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)2 : 1
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.
    4TBD #7Barrios Vera T. (18)
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)
    7Bellucci M. (7)Cassone M.
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21Merida Aguilar D.
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)