Luke Littler vs Damon Heta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Darts Australian Darts Masters Luke Littler - Damon Heta
Result
6:3
09/08/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Australian Darts Masters - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox Sports MORE
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay

Chances of winning


Luke Littler
73.1%
Damon Heta
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
72.9% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luke Littler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Damon Heta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luke Littler than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luke Littler that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damon Heta than the current prediction. (+14.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damon Heta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luke Littler - Damon Heta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.3)

    3.46
    (3.5)
    8%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Littler is ranked World Ranking: 2. Heta is ranked World Ranking: 10.
    • Littler is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Heta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Heta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Littler is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Littler won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 32:23. (average 6.4:4.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luke Littler - Damon Heta were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Damon Heta - Luke Littler 3:6
    01.09.2024 Damon Heta - Luke Littler 5:6
    27.04.2024 Damon Heta - Luke Littler 2:6
    10.03.2024 Damon Heta - Luke Littler 3:6
    03.03.2024 Damon Heta - Luke Littler 10:8
    Latest results of Luke Littler
    08.08.2025 Luke Littler - Haupai Puha 6:5
    27.07.2025 James Wade - Luke Littler 13:18
    26.07.2025 Luke Littler - Josh Rock 17:14
    25.07.2025 Luke Littler - Andrew Gilding 16:14
    Latest results of Damon Heta
    Draw
    2025

    1/8-finals
    1Bunting S. (1)Klinge B.6 : 1
    2Rock J.Whitlock S.6 : 1
    3Littler L. (4)Puha H.6 : 5
    4Heta D.Bailey J.6 : 0
    5Price G. (2)Comito J.6 : 3
    6Dobey C.Pusey T.6 : 4
    7Humphries L. (3)Tata J.6 : 3
    8De Decker M.Weening B.6 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bunting S. (1)Rock J.6 : 0
    2Littler L. (4)Heta D.6 : 3
    3Price G. (2)Dobey C.4 : 6
    4Humphries L. (3)De Decker M.0 : 6

    Semi-finals
    1Bunting S. (1)Littler L. (4)4 : 7
    2Dobey C.De Decker M.4 : 7

    Final
    1Littler L. (4)De Decker M.