Result
0:2
27/02/2026 at 18:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 2 |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 76% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 71% (24/34) | 76% (41/54) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 65% (11/17) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 100% (3/3) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 24% (13/54) | 29% (10/34) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 58% (11/19) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 50% (2/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 67% (2/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (32/52) | 73% (51/70) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 27% (19/70) | 38% (20/52) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (51/122) | 58% (71/122) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 100% (10/10) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/10) | 22% (2/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Alejandro Tabilo
47.7% | Sebastian Baez
52.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alejandro Tabilo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Tabilo's form might have worsened.Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Baez's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Baez than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Alejandro Tabilo - Sebastian Baez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2 ↑
(1.73) |
|
1.82 ↓
(2.1) |
4.9%
(5.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Sebastian Baez?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Baez will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Baez: 50.9% – 95.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tabilo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Baez (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Tabilo is ranked ATP: 42. Baez is ranked ATP: 52.
- Tabilo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Baez has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Baez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alejandro Tabilo won against Sebastian Baez?
Alejandro Tabilo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Alejandro Tabilo?
Sebastian Baez has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Sebastian Baez were as follows:
03.03.2024
Alejandro Tabilo
-
Sebastian Baez
1:2
Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
Latest results of Sebastian Baez
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Moller E. | Burruchaga R. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Passaro F. (RET.) (WC) | Vallejo D. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Nava E. | Berrettini M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Lajovic D. | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Jarry N. (WC) | Prizmic D. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Soto M. (WC) | Gaubas V. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Tabilo A. (8) | Barrios Vera T. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Tirante T. A. | Buse I. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Cerundolo J. M. | Garin C. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Baez S. (3) | |
| 13 | Comesana F. (7) | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Barrena A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 15 | Navone M. | Kopriva V. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Moller E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vallejo D. | Nava E. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (4) | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Prizmic D. | Gaubas V. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Tabilo A. (8) | Tirante T. A. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Garin C. | Baez S. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Comesana F. (7) | Pellegrino A. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Navone M. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Hanfmann Y. | Gaubas V. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. (8) | Baez S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Pellegrino A. | Darderi L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Hanfmann Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Baez S. (3) | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Hanfmann Y. | Darderi L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
